Match Info

OBOS-ligaen - Round 26

Date: 17 October 2025, Friday

Location: Åråsen Stadion (Lillestrøm)

Referee: Lien M. (Nor)

Where to Watch on TV:


Norway	TV2 Play, TV2 Sport 1


	Lillestrøm SK		Lyn

	1	X	2
	1.38	5	7	Watch
	1.42	4.85	6.3
	1.38	4.95	8.12
	1.48	4.51	5.84	Watch
	1.4	4.85	6.53	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.41 ↑ (1.4)	4.83 ↑ (4.79)	6.76 ↓ (6.77)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lillestrøm SK
66.6%

Draw
19.5%

Lyn
13.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

19.5%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61%

17.8%

15.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lillestrøm SK has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Lyn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lillestrøm SK than the current prediction. (-5.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lillestrøm SK that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyn than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
77.8%	11.1%	11.1%

Lillestrøm SK - Lyn Predictions

Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Lillestrøm will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Lyn will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lillestrøm: 50.6% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Lillestrøm (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DC - Lyn (2.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Lillestrøm (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Lyn (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Hedenstad M. (G) 2. Ranger L. 4. Garnas E. B. 28. Gabrielsen R. (C) 11. Elkaer F. 8. Karlsbakk M. 6. Hoff V. 17. Kitolano E. 15. Drammeh S. 10. Olsen T. 20. Felix Va	1. Pedersen A. (C) 55. Haugen S. 29. Sylla M. 6. Midtskogen A. 18. Nilsen H. 5. Bydal E. 24. Fredriksen D. 9. Olsen A. 21. Skaug J. 10. Johansen M. 11. Hellum A.
Substitutes
7. Alperud L. 33. Diop M. 5. Foss S. 1. Hagerup S. (G) 64. Larsson E. 26. Paintsil Y. 30. Svenningsen L. 19. Tonnesen K. 32. Woxen H.	17. Arzani D. 27. Barnett I. 77. Hylen B. 25. Ingebrigtsen M. 19. Myhre T. 28. Niang M. 4. Sell W. 12. Wold J. (G)
Coaches
Odegaard H.	Aadland M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
2', 0 - 1, Johansen M. ⚽,
9', 1 - 1, Kitolano E. ⚽, Elkaer F. (A),
30', Gabrielsen R. 🟨,
35', 2 - 1, Elkaer F. ⚽, Felix Va (A),
35', Olsen T. ↓, Diop M. ↑,
38', Hoff V. 🟨,
45+3', Haugen S. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
52', 3 - 1, Karlsbakk M. ⚽, Hoff V. (A),
61', 4 - 1, Garnas E. B. ⚽, Drammeh S. (A),
66', Skaug J. ↓, Myhre T. ↑,
66', Haugen S. ↓, Barnett I. ↑,
66', Johansen M. ↓, Sell W. ↑,
78', Ranger L. ↓, Larsson E. ↑,
79', Felix Va ↓, Paintsil Y. ↑,
82', Sylla M. 🟨,
85', 5 - 1, Diop M. ⚽, Elkaer F. (A),
87', Elkaer F. ↓, Tonnesen K. ↑,
87', Drammeh S. ↓, Woxen H. ↑,
87', Fredriksen D. ↓, Hylen B. ↑,
87', Hellum A. ↓, Niang M. ↑,
89', Barnett I. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Eliteserien and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ OBOS~ligaen (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Each of the two teams have built a series of wins lately.

Lillestrøm may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Lillestrøm is the undeniable favorite.

We predict that Lillestrøm will win today's game, with odds of 1.39.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lillestrøm won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lillestrøm SK
Club Friendly
08.10.25	IFK Göteborg - Lillestrøm SK	0:0 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
04.10.25	Lillestrøm SK - Hødd	4:0 ✺
29.09.25	Moss - Lillestrøm SK	1:5 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.09.25	Sandnes Ulf - Lillestrøm SK	1:2 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
20.09.25	Lillestrøm SK - Mjøndalen	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 TWWWW
- Lyn Fotball
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
05.10.25	Lyn - Moss	4:0 ✺
29.09.25	Hødd - Lyn	0:1 ✺
Norwegian NM Cup
24.09.25	Egersund - Lyn	0:1 ✺
Norwegian Adeccoligaen
21.09.25	Lyn - Sogndal	2:1 ✺
14.09.25	Mjøndalen - Lyn	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Norwegian Adeccoligaen
27.04.25	Lyn - Lillestrøm SK	0:1

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