Match Info

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A - Round 22

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday

Location: Campo Cruzeiro (Ponte de Lima)


	Limianos		Desportivo Monção

	1	X	2
	1.39	4.15	6.7
	1.32	4.92	6.91
	1.43	4.2	6.48	Watch
	1.36	4.2	6.5
	1.46	4.12	6.44
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.39 ↓ (1.4)	4.32 ↑ (4.08)	6.61 ↓ (6.82)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Limianos
65.2%

Draw
21%

Desportivo Monção
13.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.6%

22.2%

13.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.6%

21.2%

12.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Limianos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Desportivo Monção has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Limianos than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Desportivo Monção than the current prediction. (-1%)

Limianos - Desportivo Monção Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
68', 1 - 1, ⚽,
80', 2 - 1, ⚽,
84', 3 - 1, ⚽,
90', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Campeonato de Portugal ~ Promotion Group and 14 in the zone Relegation).

Limianos is showing really good form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Desportivo Monção has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Limianos may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Limianos is the obvious favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Limianos won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	AD Limianos	4	2	2	0	8:5	3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AD Limianos
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
08.03.26	Mirandela - Limianos	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	Celoricense - Limianos	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Limianos - Vilaverdense	4:1 ✺
08.02.26	Camacha - Limianos	2:2 ✺
25.01.26	Limianos - Machico	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 TTWTW
- Desportivo Monção
Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
08.03.26	Bragança - Desportivo Monção	1:4 ✺
01.03.26	Desportivo Monção - Mirandela	1:2 ✺
22.02.26	Ribeira Brava - Desportivo Monção	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	Desportivo Monção - Celoricense	0:2 ✺
07.02.26	Vilaverdense - Desportivo Monção	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.9 WLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
09.11.25	Desportivo Monção - Limianos	1:2

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