Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 21

Date: 29 January 2023, Sunday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Linarejos (Linares)


	Linares Deportivo		Talavera de la Reina

	1	X	2
	2.1	3	3.6
	2.05	3.1	3.2
	2.05	3	3.5
	2.1	3.05	3.25
	2.32	3.13	3.27
	2.19	3.1	3.38
	2.11	3.1	3.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↑ (1.82)	3.07 ↑ (2.9)	3.36 ↓ (5.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 5.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linares Deportivo
42.9%

Draw
29.8%

Talavera de la Reina
27.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

31.6%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.7%

29.9%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linares Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Linares Deportivo's form might have worsened.

Talavera de la Reina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Talavera de la Reina's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linares Deportivo than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Talavera de la Reina than the current prediction. (-8.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Talavera de la Reina, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Linares Deportivo - Talavera de la Reina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Linares is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Talavera is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Talavera could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Linares is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Linares won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linares Deportivo
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.01.23	Celta de Vigo B - Linares Deportivo	4:2 ✺
14.01.23	Algeciras - Linares Deportivo	3:3 ✺
07.01.23	Linares Deportivo - Leonesa	0:2 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.01.23	Linares Deportivo - Sevilla	0:5 ✺
22.12.22	Linares Deportivo - Racing Santander	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LTLLW
- CF Talavera de la Reina
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
22.01.23	Talavera de la Reina - Fuenlabrada	1:0 ✺
15.01.23	Badajoz - Talavera de la Reina	1:1 ✺
08.01.23	Talavera de la Reina - Ceuta	2:0 ✺
17.12.22	Talavera de la Reina - San Fernando	0:0 ✺
10.12.22	Real Madrid Castilla - Talavera de la Reina	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.4 WTWTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.09.22	Talavera de la Reina - Linares Deportivo	2:3

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