Match Info

SPAIN: PRIMERA RFEF - GROUP 1 - ROUND 18

Date: 7 January 2023, Saturday

Location: Estadio Municipal de Linarejos (Linares)


	Linares Deportivo		Leonesa

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.25	2.55
	2.45	3	2.6
	2.6	3	2.55
	2.48	3.15	2.55
	2.7	3.13	2.67
	2.25	2.9	3.2
	2.51	3.24	2.59
	2.5	3.2	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.5 ↑ (2.19)	3.11 ↓ (3.14)	2.66 ↓ (3.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Linares Deportivo
36.4%

Draw
29.3%

Leonesa
34.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.8%

29.2%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43%

30%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Linares Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Linares Deportivo's form might have worsened.

Leonesa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Leonesa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Linares Deportivo than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Linares Deportivo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Leonesa than the current prediction. (-6.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Leonesa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Linares Deportivo - Leonesa Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 6 and 8).

Recent matches Linares is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Leonesa is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Linares will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Linares Deportivo
Spanish Copa del Rey
04.01.23	Linares Deportivo - Sevilla	0:5 ✺
22.12.22	Linares Deportivo - Racing Santander	1:0 ✺
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.12.22	Badajoz - Linares Deportivo	1:1 ✺
11.12.22	Linares Deportivo - Ceuta	2:2 ✺
07.12.22	Ferrol - Linares Deportivo	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWTTL
- Cultural y Deportiva Leonesa
Spanish Primera RFEF Group 1
18.12.22	Leonesa - San Sebastian Reyes	4:1 ✺
10.12.22	Celta de Vigo B - Leonesa	2:1 ✺
07.12.22	Leonesa - San Fernando	2:0 ✺
03.12.22	Real Madrid Castilla - Leonesa	1:1 ✺
26.11.22	Leonesa - Unionistas de Salamanca	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14 WLWTW

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