Match Info

Date: 1 October 2022, Saturday


	Liniers		El Porvenir

	1	X	2
	4.25	4.4	1.55
	4.2	4.1	1.59
	4.24	4.2	1.69
	5.1	3.45	1.63	Watch
	4.4	3.9	1.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.44 ↑ (1.87)	4.01 ↑ (3.13)	1.62 ↓ (4.16)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liniers
20.6%

Draw
22.8%

El Porvenir
56.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.9%

29.1%

21.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.8%

28.6%

21.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liniers has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-28.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Liniers's form might have worsened.

El Porvenir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+34.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting El Porvenir's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liniers than the current prediction. (+29.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Liniers, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for El Porvenir than the current prediction. (-35.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for El Porvenir, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	6.7%	73.3%

Liniers - El Porvenir Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Liniers will win (votes: 3 - 20%). El Porvenir will win (votes: 11 - 73.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for El Porvenir: 50.9% – 95.7%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 16 and 18).

Liniers is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches El Porvenir is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

El Porvenir will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Liniers won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSD Liniers
Argentinian Primera C
26.09.22	San Martín de Burzaco - Liniers	0:1 ✺
17.09.22	Liniers - Real Pilar	0:2 ✺
14.09.22	General Lamadrid - Liniers	1:1 ✺
11.09.22	Liniers - Berazategui	1:3 ✺
04.09.22	Argentino de Merlo - Liniers	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 WLTLL
- Club El Porvenir
Argentinian Primera C
26.09.22	El Porvenir - Ferrocarril Midland	2:0 ✺
17.09.22	Deportivo Español - El Porvenir	3:1 ✺
13.09.22	El Porvenir - Central Córdoba de Rosario	0:0 ✺
09.09.22	Sportivo Italiano - El Porvenir	1:1 ✺
04.09.22	El Porvenir - Leandro N. Alem	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.7 WLTTL

Latest Head to Head

Argentinian Primera C
29.05.22	El Porvenir - Liniers	1:0

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