Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 14

Date: 24 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Lipno Stęszew		Gedania Gdańsk

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.60	2.60
	2.05	3.45	2.88
	2.21	3.50	2.68
	2.22	3.72	2.68	Watch
	2.18	3.45	2.65
	2.28	3.82	2.64	Watch
	2.15	3.75	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.18 ↑ (2.1)	3.61 ↑ (3.35)	2.67 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Lipno Stęszew
41.3%

Draw
24.9%

Gedania Gdańsk
33.7%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

42.3%

26.5%

31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

25.8%

30.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lipno Stęszew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Gedania Gdańsk has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lipno Stęszew than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gedania Gdańsk than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

Lipno Stęszew - Gedania Gdańsk Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 1 - 0, Rutowski K. ⚽,
38', 1 - 1, Bielawski A. (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
86', 1 - 2, Manuszewski M. ⚽,

Preview

Crucial home points are at stake for a lower-table team looking to climb out of danger (ranked 17th in the Relegation and 13th).

Lipno Stęszew has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Gedania has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

These two teams have no recorded direct encounters in recent history.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Gedania Gdansk	14	4	6	4	30:29	1	18
17	Lipno Steszew	14	3	2	9	17:28	-11	11

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lipno Stęszew
Polish Division 3 - Group II
17.10.26	Lipno Stęszew - KKS Kalisz	1:0 ✺
10.10.26	Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński - Lipno Stęszew	3:4 ✺
03.10.26	Lipno Stęszew - Chemik Bydgoszcz	0:1 ✺
26.09.26	Września - Lipno Stęszew	1:1 ✺
19.09.26	Lipno Stęszew - Bałtyk Koszalin	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 24.1 WWLTW
- Gedania Gdańsk
Polish Division 3 - Group II
17.10.26	Gedania Gdańsk - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	2:2 ✺
10.10.26	Chemik Bydgoszcz - Gedania Gdańsk	2:3 ✺
03.10.26	Gedania Gdańsk - Września	0:0 ✺
26.09.26	Bałtyk Koszalin - Gedania Gdańsk	3:1 ✺
19.09.26	Gedania Gdańsk - Kotwica Kórnik	6:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 TWTLW

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lipno Stęszew
Polish Division 3 - Group II
31.10.26	Grom Nowy Staw - Lipno Stęszew	✺

Lipno Stęszew - Gedania Gdańsk