Match Info

III Liga - Group II - Round 34

Date: 30 May 2026, Saturday


	Lipno Stęszew		Unia Swarzędz

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.6	2.12
	2.73	3.83	2.07
	2.74	4.05	2.08	Watch
	2.75	3.4	2.15
	2.78	3.7	2.12	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.76 ↑ (2.46)	3.72 ↑ (3.47)	2.11 ↓ (2.51)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lipno Stęszew
32.8%

Draw
24.3%

Unia Swarzędz
42.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.2%

26.4%

36.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.7%

26%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lipno Stęszew has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Unia Swarzędz has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Unia Swarzędz's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lipno Stęszew than the current prediction. (+3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Unia Swarzędz than the current prediction. (-6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Unia Swarzędz, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Lipno Stęszew - Unia Swarzędz Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 1 - 0, ⚽,
27', 1 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
61', 2 - 1, ⚽,
64', 3 - 1, ⚽,
67', 4 - 1, ⚽,
72', 4 - 2, ⚽,
90+2', 4 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 9).

In recent matches, Lipno Stęszew has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Unia Swarzędz is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 4 wins).

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Lipno Stęszew won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Unia Swarzedz	11	4	1	6	20:19	1	13
18	Lipno Steszew	11	1	2	8	11:23	-12	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lipno Stęszew
Polish Division 3 - Group II
23.05.26	Września - Lipno Stęszew	1:3 ✺
17.05.26	Lipno Stęszew - Luzino	0:5 ✺
13.05.26	Kluczevia Stargard - Lipno Stęszew	0:3 ✺
09.05.26	Pogoń Nowe Skalmierzyce - Lipno Stęszew	2:0 ✺
01.05.26	Lipno Stęszew - Noteć Czarnków	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WLWLW
- Unia Swarzędz
Polish Division 3 - Group II
23.05.26	Unia Swarzędz - Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal	3:1 ✺
17.05.26	Elana Toruń - Unia Swarzędz	0:4 ✺
13.05.26	Unia Swarzędz - Września	2:1 ✺
08.05.26	Noteć Czarnków - Unia Swarzędz	0:1 ✺
01.05.26	Unia Swarzędz - Błękitni Stargard Szczeciński	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWWWT

Latest Head to Head

Polish Division 3 - Group II
15.11.25	Unia Swarzędz - Lipno Stęszew	0:2

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