Match Info

Premier League - Round 6

Date: 10 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Emirates Stadium (London) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Tierney P. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Albania	13:30	SuperSport 3
Argentina	08:30	Disney+, ESPN
Armenia	15:30	Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	—	beIN Arabia, beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 1, beIN Sports MENA, beIN Sports MENA English 1, Star Sports 3 Asia, TOD
Australia	22:30	Stan Sport
Austria	13:30	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League
Azerbaijan	15:30	Idman TV, Setanta Sports 1
Bangladesh	17:30	Toffee Live
Belgium	13:30	Play Sports 1
Bolivia	07:30	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	13:30	Arena Premium 1, Arena Sport 1
Brazil	08:30	Disney+, ESPN
Bulgaria	14:30	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	07:30	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network, FuboTV
China	19:30	Migu
Croatia	13:30	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	14:30	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	13:30	CANAL+ Sport, Oneplay
Denmark	13:30	Amazon Prime Video, Viaplay
Ecuador	06:30	ESPN
Estonia	14:30	Go3 Extra Sports
Europe	—	Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	14:30	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
France	13:30	CANAL+ Foot, CANAL+ France, Canal+ Live 6, Canal+ Live 7, CANAL+ Sport
Georgia	15:30	Setanta Sports 1
Germany	13:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, WOW
Greece	14:30	Nova Sports Premier League
Hong Kong	19:30	M Plus Live, Now Player, NOW Premier League 1, Now Sports Premier League TV
Hungary	13:30	TV2 Play Premium
Iceland	11:30	SÝN Sport
India	17:00	Disney+ Hotstar, JioStar, JioTV app, Star Sports 3, Star Sports Select 1
Indonesia	18:30	Vidio
Israel	14:30	Sport 1
Italy	13:30	SKY Go Italia
Japan	20:30	U-NEXT
Kenya	14:30	Gotv
Kosovo	13:30	Arena Premium 1
Kyrgyzstan	17:30	Setanta Sports 1
Lithuania	14:30	Go3 Extra Sports
Malaysia	19:30	Astro Go, Canal+ Sport 1, Canal+ Sport 2
Maldives	16:30	Medianet
Malta	13:30	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mexico	05:30	HBO Max
Moldova	14:30	Setanta Sports 1
Myanmar	18:00	Canal+ Myanmar
Nepal	17:15	Kantipur Max
Netherlands	13:30	Amazon Prime Video, Viaplay
New Zealand	00:30	SKY Go NZ, Sky Sport Premier League
Nigeria	12:30	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean
North Macedonia	13:30	Arena Premium 1
Norway	13:30	Viaplay, V Sport Premier League 1
Peru	06:30	Disney+
Philippines	19:30	Setanta Sports
Poland	13:30	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	12:30	DAZN 1, DAZN / App, DAZN Portugal
Romania	14:30	Voyo
Serbia	13:30	Arena Premium 1
Singapore	19:30	Hub Premier 1
Slovenia	13:30	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	13:30	SuperSport Premier League
South Korea	20:30	Coupang Play
Spain	13:30	DAZN 1 Espana, DAZN Espana
Sweden	13:30	Amazon Prime Video, Viaplay
Switzerland	13:30	Sky Sport Premier League, Sunrise TV
Tajikistan	16:30	Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	14:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Turkmenistan	16:30	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	14:30	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	12:30	HBO Max, TNT Sports 1
Uruguay	08:30	Disney+
Usa	07:30	NBC Universo, NBC, SiriusXM FC, Telemundo, UNIVERSO NOW, USA Network
Uzbekistan	16:30	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	07:30	Disney+, ESPN
Vietnam	18:30	FPT Play


	Arsenal		Leeds United

	1	X	2
	1.40	4.75	8.00
	1.47	4.50	6.50
	1.41	4.60	8.00
	1.46	4.70	7.89
	1.44	4.89	7.7	Watch
	1.45	4.60	7.80
	1.40	4.79	8.58	Watch
	1.46	4.70	7.00
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.44 ↑ (1.43)	4.69 ↓ (4.8)	7.68 ↑ (7.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arsenal
67%

Draw
20.5%

Leeds United
12.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

66.9%

19.9%

13.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.3%

18.9%

12.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arsenal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Leeds United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arsenal than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

The ML Model estimate for Leeds United aligns with the current prediction.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
86.3%	5.9%	7.8%

Arsenal - Leeds United Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -1.5 - Arsenal (2.23) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

BTTS - yes (2.10) (votes: 89%) ⭐ Best Value.

Cards O/U 3 - over (1.95) (votes: 81%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Arsenal will win (42 of 49 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 75.91% – 95.51%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Arsenal will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Arsenal (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Leeds (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raya D. (G) 4. White B. 15. Konsa E. 6. Gabriel 33. Calafiori R. 41. Rice D. 49. Lewis-Skelly M. 7. Saka B. 8. Odegaard M. (C) 20. Madueke N. 29. Havertz K.	1. Trafford J. (G) 24. Justin J. 30. Elvedi N. 5. Muharemovic T. 2. Bogle J. 4. Ampadu E. (C) 22. Tanaka A. 3. Gudmundsson G. 18. Stach A. 19. Okafor N. 9. Calvert-Lewin D.
Substitutes
13. Arrizabalaga K. (G) 39. Bruno Guimaraes 56. Dowman M. 10. Eze E. 14. Gyokeres V. 5. Hincapie P. 23. Merino M. 12. Timber J. 36. Zubimendi M.	11. Aaronson B. 23. Bahoya J. 26. Bard M. 15. Bijol J. 44. Gruev I. 8. Longstaff S. 14. Nmecha L. 10. Wilson H. 16. Zetterer M. (G)
Coaches
Arteta M.	Farke D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
36', Tanaka A. 🟨,
38', Ampadu E. 🟨,
39', Farke D. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
55', 0 - 1, Justin J. ⚽, Gudmundsson G. (A),
59', Muharemovic T. 🟨,
62', 1 - 1, Calafiori R. ⚽, White B. (A),
63', White B. ↓, Timber J. ↑,
63', Havertz K. ↓, Gyokeres V. ↑,
63', Lewis-Skelly M. ↓, Bruno Guimaraes ↑,
70', 2 - 1, Bruno Guimaraes ⚽, Rice D. (A),
71', Tanaka A. ↓, Wilson H. ↑,
71', Okafor N. ↓, Aaronson B. ↑,
78', Justin J. 🟨,
80', Justin J. ↓, Nmecha L. ↑,
82', Calafiori R. ↓, Hincapie P. ↑,
84', Odegaard M. 🟨,
86', Bogle J. ↓, Bahoya J. ↑,
86', Elvedi N. ↓, Bijol J. ↑,
90+1', Odegaard M. ↓, Merino M. ↑,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 2nd in the Promotion - Champions League League phase and 5th in the Promotion - Europa League League phase).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Arsenal won 5.

Arsenal is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

Performances by Leeds have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Recently, Arsenal has faced a series of away games on the road.

In this match, Arsenal enters as the overwhelming favorite.

Confirmed absences for Arsenal: Saliba W. (Back Injury) Tzolis C. (Hamstring Injury).

Confirmed absences for Leeds: James D. (Back Injury) Joseph M. (Knee Injury) Rodon J. (Muscle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Arsenal: Dowman M. (Injury) Havertz K. (Muscle Injury) Konsa E. (Muscle Injury).

Doubtful / questionable for Leeds: Bahoya J. (Ankle Injury) Wilson H. (Muscle Injury).

Our forecast points to a victory for Arsenal in today's match, at odds of 1.41.

In the last 10 head-to-head meetings, Arsenal has recorded 9 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 27:5 (averaging 2.7:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Arsenal against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 18:4 goals (averaging 3:0.7 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Arsenal	8	7	0	1	13:5	8	21
7	Leeds	8	2	5	1	9:6	3	11

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Arsenal: 62.36% Leeds: 0.59%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arsenal FC
English Premier League
19.09.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Arsenal	3:0 ✺
English League Cup
15.09.26	Ipswich Town - Arsenal	2:4 ✺
English Premier League
12.09.26	Sunderland - Arsenal	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
09.09.26	Napoli - Arsenal	0:1 ✺
English Premier League
06.09.26	Arsenal - Chelsea	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 LWWWW
- Leeds United
English Premier League
20.09.26	Leeds United - Crystal Palace	0:0 ✺
14.09.26	Leeds United - Newcastle United	4:1 ✺
English League Cup
09.09.26	Chelsea - Leeds United	6:3 ✺
English Premier League
05.09.26	Brighton & Hove Albion - Leeds United	1:1 ✺
30.08.26	Leeds United - Brentford	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWLTT

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
31.01.26	Leeds United - Arsenal	0:4
23.08.25	Arsenal - Leeds United	5:0
01.04.23	Arsenal - Leeds United	4:1
16.10.22	Leeds United - Arsenal	0:1
08.05.22	Arsenal - Leeds United	2:1
18.12.21	Leeds United - Arsenal	1:4
English League Cup
26.10.21	Arsenal - Leeds United	2:0

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