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Crystal Palace - Liverpool: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide

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Match Info

  • Premier League - Round 6
  • Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday
  • Location: Selhurst Park (London)
  • Referee: Kavanagh C. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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    Crystal Palace Liverpool
    Crystal Palace Liverpool
    1 X 2
    #Advertisement. GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required or to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ 4.33 3.6 1.83
    betsson 4.15 3.8 1.85
    Bet_in_Asia 4.33 3.75 1.89
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    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.88 ↓
    (4.08)    		 3.75 ↓
    (4.01)    		 2.09 ↑
    (1.83)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

    • The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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    Current Win Probability

    Crystal Palace
    25.7%    		Draw
    26.6%    		Liverpool
    47.8%

    Initial Probability

    (when we started the analysis)
    23.5% 23.9% 52.5%

    Our Initial ML Estimation

    23.7% 24.1% 52.1%


    Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Crystal Palace has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)
  • Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Crystal Palace than the current prediction. (-2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+4.3%)

    • Who will win by Users?

    1
    X
    2
    21.7% 10% 68.3%

    Crystal Palace - Liverpool Predictions

  • Users Predictions: 60 users predict this event. Crystal Palace will win (votes: 13 - 21.7%). Liverpool will win (votes: 41 - 68.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 56.5% – 80.1%.
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 27 Selected Experts predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 7 - 25.9%). Liverpool (votes: 19 - 70.4%). Tie (votes: 1 - 3.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • DC - Crystal Palace (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.5 - Crystal Palace (2.01) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
    • O/U 3 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • H/A, 1st Half - Liverpool (1.47) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 2nd Half - Liverpool (2.14) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • 1X2, 1st Half - Liverpool (2.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 36 Selected Experts predict this event. Crystal Palace (votes: 13 - 36.1%). Liverpool (votes: 22 - 61.1%). Tie (votes: 1 - 2.8%).
  • Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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    Lineups

    Starting Lineups
      1. EnglandHenderson D. (G)
    26. USARichards C.
      5. FranceLacroix M.
      6. EnglandGuehi M. (C)
      2. ColombiaMunoz D.
    20. EnglandWharton A.
    18. JapanKamada D.
      3. EnglandMitchell T.
      7. SenegalSarr I.
    10. SpainPino Y.
    14. FranceMateta J.
    		  1. BrazilAlisson (G)
    12. NorthernBradley C.
      5. FranceKonate I.
      4. Netherlandsvan Dijk V. (C)
      6. HungaryKerkez M.
    38. NetherlandsGravenberch R.
    10. ArgentinaMac Allister A.
    11. EgyptSalah M.
      8. HungarySzoboszlai D.
      7. GermanyWirtz F.
      9. SwedenIsak A.
    Substitutes
    23. FranceCanvot J.
    17. EnglandClyne N.
    55. NorthernDevenny J.
    19. EnglandHughes W.
      8. ColombiaLerma J.
    31. EnglandMatthews R. (G)
      9. EnglandNketiah E.
    24. CroatiaSosa B.
    12. NigeriaUche C.
    		14. ItalyChiesa F.
      3. JapanEndo W.
    30. NetherlandsFrimpong J.
    18. NetherlandsGakpo C.
      2. EnglandGomez J.
    17. EnglandJones C.
    25. GeorgiaMamardashvili G. (G)
    73. EnglandNgumoha R.
    26. ScotlandRobertson A.
    Coaches
         AustriaGlasner O.
    		     NetherlandsSlot A.

    Key Events of the Match

    • 1st Half (1 - 0)
    • 9', 1 - 0, Sarr I. ⚽,

    Preview

  • The most interesting match of the day — two teams from the very top of the table will face off (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: ) and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )).
  • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 2.
  • Crystal Palace is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
  • Liverpool is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 5 wins).
  • Crystal Palace may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
  • Recently, Liverpool has had a series of home games.
  • In this match, Liverpool is considered a favorite.
  • There will not play in Crystal Palace: Benitez W. (Finger Injury) Doucoure C. (Knee Injury) Kporha C. (Back Injury) Riad C. (Knee Injury) Sarr I. (Thigh Injury)
  • There will not play in Liverpool: Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Chambers L. (Back Injury) Ekitike H. (Red Card) Leoni G. (Knee Injury) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury)
  • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Crystal Palace won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 14 matches, and goals 15:42. (average 0.8:2.1).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Crystal Palace won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 7 matches, and goals 7:21. (average 0.8:2.3).

    • Last Results with these Odds

    Liverpool - the odds 1.83 are the expected chance of winning is 52.52%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

    Form
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Crystal Palace
    English Premier League
    20.09.25 West Ham United - Crystal Palace 1:2 ✺
    English League Cup
    16.09.25 Crystal Palace - Millwall 2:1 penalties ✺
    English Premier League
    13.09.25 Crystal Palace - Sunderland 0:0 ✺
    31.08.25 Aston Villa - Crystal Palace 0:3 ✺
    UEFA Europa Conference League
    28.08.25 Fredrikstad - Crystal Palace 0:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14
    WWTWT
    - Liverpool FC
    English League Cup
    23.09.25 Liverpool - Southampton 2:1 ✺
    English Premier League
    20.09.25 Liverpool - Everton 2:1 ✺
    UEFA Champions League
    17.09.25 Liverpool - Atlético Madrid 3:2 ✺
    English Premier League
    14.09.25 Burnley - Liverpool 0:1 ✺
    31.08.25 Liverpool - Arsenal 1:0 ✺
    Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7
    WWWWW
    Latest Head to Head
    English FA Community Shield
    10.08.25 Crystal Palace - Liverpool 3:2 penalties
    English Premier League
    25.05.25 Liverpool - Crystal Palace 1:1
    05.10.24 Crystal Palace - Liverpool 0:1
    14.04.24 Liverpool - Crystal Palace 0:1
    09.12.23 Crystal Palace - Liverpool 1:2
    25.02.23 Crystal Palace - Liverpool 0:0
    15.08.22 Liverpool - Crystal Palace 1:1
    Upcoming Matches
    ✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;
    - Crystal Palace
    UEFA Europa League
    15.10.26 Lyon - Crystal Palace ✺
    English Premier League
    11.10.26 Crystal Palace - Nottingham Forest ✺
    - Liverpool FC
    UEFA Champions League
    14.10.26 LASK Linz - Liverpool ✺
    English Premier League
    11.10.26 Liverpool - Manchester City ✺

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