The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Liverpool 54.7%
Draw 24.3%
Atlético Madrid 21%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
55%
24%
21%
Our Initial ML Estimation
62.4%
27.2%
18.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)
The chances for Atlético Madrid have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Liverpool, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
74.2%
19.4%
6.5%
Liverpool - Atlético Madrid Predictions
Users Predictions:
61 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 45 - 73.8%). Atlético will win (votes: 4 - 6.6%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 19.7%). Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 62.8% – 84.8%.
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
Cards O/U 3.5 - over (1.95) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.
BTTS - yes (1.57) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.
Corners O/U 9 - over (1.85) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.
O/U 2.5 - over (1.57) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Liverpool will win (10 of 13 users predict this - 76.92%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 12 - 75%). Atlético (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Alisson (G) 33. Araujo R. 5. Jacquet J. 4. van Dijk V. (C) 6. Kerkez M. 8. Szoboszlai D. 10. Mac Allister A. 29. Barcola B. 7. Wirtz F. 73. Ngumoha R. 9. Isak A.
13. Oblak J. (G) 14. Llorente M. 21. Romero C. 18. Pubill M. 17. Hancko D. 20. Simeone G. 8. Barrios P. 6. Koke (C) 10. Baena A. 7. Lee Kang-In 19. Alvarez J.
Substitutes
44. Chambers L. 76. Danns J. 30. Frimpong J. 38. Gravenberch R. 67. Koumas L. 25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 53. McConnell J. 23. Munoz V. 42. Nyoni T. 21. Tsimikas K. 28. Woodman F. (G)
5. Cardoso J. 46. Castillo J. 15. David J. 27. Dominguez J. 22. Grimaldo A. 23. Hjulmand M. 24. Le Normand R. 11. Lookman A. 30. Martinez D. 4. Mendoza R. 1. Musso J. (G) 3. Vargas O.
Coaches
Iraola A.
Simeone D.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Llorente M. ⚽, Alvarez J. (A),
28', Mac Allister A. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Szoboszlai D. ⚽, Araujo R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 2 - 1, Mac Allister A. ⚽, Isak A. (A),
51', Pubill M. 🟨,
59', Koke ↓, Lookman A. ↑,
59', Lee Kang-In ↓, Grimaldo A. ↑,
60', Ngumoha R. ↓, Frimpong J. ↑,
60', Barcola B. ↓, Munoz V. ↑,
69', Mac Allister A. ↓, Gravenberch R. ↑,
73', Baena A. ↓, David J. ↑,
77', Romero C. ↓, Le Normand R. ↑,
77', Barrios P. ↓, Hjulmand M. ↑,
88', Isak A. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
88', Kerkez M. ↓, Tsimikas K. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 3.
At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.
In this match, Liverpool is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Liverpool: Bradley C.
(Knee Injury)
Chiesa F.
(Back Injury)
Ekitike H.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Endo W.
(Off the roster)
Gomez J.
(Muscle Injury)
Leoni G.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in Atlético: Ortiz A.
(Red Card)
Sorloth A.
(Muscle Injury)
In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.8:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).
Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now
Liverpool: 4.9% Atl. Madrid: 1.83%
Standings
League phase
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
13
Liverpool
1
1
0
0
2:1
1
3
26
Atl. Madrid
1
0
0
1
1:2
-1
0
Last Results with these Odds
Liverpool - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 55%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.