Match Info

Champions League - League phase - Round 1

Date: 9 September 2026, Wednesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Anfield (Liverpool) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Massa D. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Afghanistan	23:30	Meraj TV
Africa	—	CANAL+ Sport 2
Argentina	16:00	Disney+, FOX Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 3, beIN Sports MENA English 1
Australia	05:00	Stan Sport
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 3
Bolivia	15:00	ESPN
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 2
Brazil	16:00	TNT Sports
Bulgaria	22:00	Ring
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada, fubo Sports Network
Colombia	14:00	ESPN
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 2, HRT 2
Cyprus	22:00	Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sport 4K, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 1, Cytavision Sports 3, Cytavision Sports 3
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 4, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	TV3+, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
Ecuador	14:00	ESPN
Europe	—	Go3 Extra Sports Baltic
Finland	22:00	MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 1
France	21:00	CANAL+ Foot, Canal+ Live 2
Germany	21:00	DAZN 1 Bar Deutsch, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	22:00	MEGA
Hungary	21:00	RTL+
Iceland	19:00	SÝN Sport 2, SÝN Sport
Ireland	20:00	RTE 2, RTE Player
Israel	22:00	5 SPORT Israel
Italy	21:00	Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Calcio, TV8
Kazakhstan	01:00	Qazsport
Kosovo	21:00	RTK 1
Malta	21:00	TSN Malta 5
Mexico	13:00	FOX One
Moldova	22:00	Jurnal TV
Mongolia	03:00	Premier Sports 2
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
North Macedonia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Norway	21:00	TV2 Play
Peru	14:00	Disney+, ESPN 5, ESPN
Poland	21:00	Canal+ Extra 1
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Romania	22:00	Digi Sport 1, Prima Sport 1, Prima TV
Russia	22:00	Okko Prime
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	21:00	Kanal A, Nova Sport 4, Voyo
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones, Movistar Plus+
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	RSI La 2, RTS 2, RTS 2, SRF Play, SRF Play
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 1
United Kingdom	20:00	HBO Max, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports Ultimate
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+, SportsEngine Play
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+, ESPN


	Liverpool		Atlético Madrid

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.9	4.5
	1.73	4.00	4.33
	1.75	3.9	4.65
	1.79	4.05	4.65
	1.77	3.94	4.72
	1.77	3.85	4.65
	1.77	4	4.62
	1.77	4.1	4.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.73)	3.97 ↑ (3.96)	4.59 ↑ (4.52)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool
54.7%

Draw
24.3%

Atlético Madrid
21%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

55%

24%

21%

Our Initial ML Estimation

56.7%

24.8%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

The chances for Atlético Madrid have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlético Madrid than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74.2%	19.4%	6.5%

Liverpool - Atlético Madrid Predictions

Users Predictions: 61 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 45 - 73.8%). Atlético will win (votes: 4 - 6.6%). It will Tie (votes: 12 - 19.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 62.8% – 84.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - over (1.91) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

DC - Liverpool (1.21) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.5 - Atlético (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (1.55) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1.5, 1st Half - over (2.29) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Liverpool (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

Cards O/U 3.5 - over (1.95) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

BTTS - yes (1.57) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

Corners O/U 9 - over (1.85) (votes: 100%) ⭐ Best Value.

O/U 2.5 - over (1.57) (votes: 88%) ⭐ Best Value.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Liverpool will win (10 of 13 users predict this - 76.92%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 16 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 12 - 75%). Atlético (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Tie (votes: 1 - 6.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alisson (G) 33. Araujo R. 5. Jacquet J. 4. van Dijk V. (C) 6. Kerkez M. 8. Szoboszlai D. 10. Mac Allister A. 29. Barcola B. 7. Wirtz F. 73. Ngumoha R. 9. Isak A.	13. Oblak J. (G) 14. Llorente M. 21. Romero C. 18. Pubill M. 17. Hancko D. 20. Simeone G. 8. Barrios P. 6. Koke (C) 10. Baena A. 7. Lee Kang-In 19. Alvarez J.
Substitutes
44. Chambers L. 76. Danns J. 30. Frimpong J. 38. Gravenberch R. 67. Koumas L. 25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 53. McConnell J. 23. Munoz V. 42. Nyoni T. 21. Tsimikas K. 28. Woodman F. (G)	5. Cardoso J. 46. Castillo J. 15. David J. 27. Dominguez J. 22. Grimaldo A. 23. Hjulmand M. 24. Le Normand R. 11. Lookman A. 30. Martinez D. 4. Mendoza R. 1. Musso J. (G) 3. Vargas O.
Coaches
Iraola A.	Simeone D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
17', 0 - 1, Llorente M. ⚽, Alvarez J. (A),
28', Mac Allister A. 🟨,
40', 1 - 1, Szoboszlai D. ⚽, Araujo R. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
50', 2 - 1, Mac Allister A. ⚽, Isak A. (A),
51', Pubill M. 🟨,
59', Koke ↓, Lookman A. ↑,
59', Lee Kang-In ↓, Grimaldo A. ↑,
60', Ngumoha R. ↓, Frimpong J. ↑,
60', Barcola B. ↓, Munoz V. ↑,
69', Mac Allister A. ↓, Gravenberch R. ↑,
73', Baena A. ↓, David J. ↑,
77', Romero C. ↓, Le Normand R. ↑,
77', Barrios P. ↓, Hjulmand M. ↑,
88', Isak A. ↓, Koumas L. ↑,
88', Kerkez M. ↓, Tsimikas K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 3.

At the moment, both teams are looking strong and ready to play.

In this match, Liverpool is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Liverpool: Bradley C. (Knee Injury) Chiesa F. (Back Injury) Ekitike H. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Endo W. (Off the roster) Gomez J. (Muscle Injury) Leoni G. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Atlético: Ortiz A. (Red Card) Sorloth A. (Muscle Injury)

In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 11:10. (average 1.8:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 2.3:1.7).

Standings

League phase

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Liverpool	3	3	0	0	12:7	5	9
16	Atl. Madrid	3	1	1	1	4:3	1	4

Outrights of UEFA Champions League for now

Liverpool: 3.78% Atl. Madrid: 2.3%

Last Results with these Odds

Liverpool - the odds 1.73 are the expected chance of winning is 55%, but this team recently wins 64% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool FC
English Premier League
04.09.26	Ipswich Town - Liverpool	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Liverpool - Nottingham Forest	2:2 ✺
23.08.26	Newcastle United - Liverpool	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.26	Liverpool - Como	2:0 ✺
16.08.26	Liverpool - Como	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WTTWT
- Atlético Madrid
Spanish LaLiga
05.09.26	Athletic Bilbao - Atlético Madrid	3:0 ✺
29.08.26	Sevilla - Atlético Madrid	1:3 ✺
23.08.26	Atlético Madrid - Villarreal	2:2 ✺
19.08.26	Atlético Madrid - Málaga	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
14.08.26	Olympique Marseille - Atlético Madrid	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League
17.09.25	Liverpool - Atlético Madrid	3:2
03.11.21	Liverpool - Atlético Madrid	2:0
19.10.21	Atlético Madrid - Liverpool	2:3
11.03.20	Liverpool - Atlético Madrid	2:3 ET
18.02.20	Atlético Madrid - Liverpool	1:0
Audi Cup
02.08.17	Atlético Madrid - Liverpool	2:1 penalties

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