Match Info

Premier League - Round 4

Date: 12 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Anfield (Liverpool)

Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	CANAL+ Sport 4, DStv Now, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport OTT 4, SuperSport Premier League
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Colombia	Disney+
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Denmark	TV3 MAX, Viaplay, V Sport Ultra
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Sweden	Viaplay
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Ukraine	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports Premium
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Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	FuboTV, NBCSN, NBC Universo, NBC, SiriusXM FC, SportsEngine Play, Telemundo
Venezuela	Disney+
Vietnam	FPT Play


	Liverpool		Fulham

	1	X	2
	1.50	4.50	5.25
	1.51	4.75	5.50
	1.50	4.50	6.10
	1.55	4.70	6.20
	1.53	4.82	5.94	Watch
	1.53	4.55	6.15
	1.53	4.66	5.79	Watch
	1.54	4.80	5.60
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.52 ↑ (1.48)	4.66 ↓ (4.79)	5.82 ↓ (5.98)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool
62.9%

Draw
20.6%

Fulham
16.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.3%

19.8%

15.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.1%

19.3%

15.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

Fulham has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (+3.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Fulham than the current prediction. (-1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85%	12.5%	2.5%

Liverpool - Fulham Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Liverpool (1.82) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

New Consensus by Tipsters:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.44) (votes: 94%) ⭐ Best Value.

BTTS - Liverpool & Yes (2.62) (votes: 86%) ⭐ Best Value.

Cards O/U 3.5 - over (1.78) (votes: 85%) ⭐ Best Value.

Users Predictions: Liverpool will win (33 of 39 users predict this - 84.62%).
Confidence interval (95%): 73.3% – 95.94%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Liverpool will win (7 of 9 users predict this - 77.78%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 10 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 8 - 80%). Fulham (votes: 1 - 10%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Alisson (G) 33. Araujo R. 5. Jacquet J. 4. van Dijk V. (C) 21. Tsimikas K. 8. Szoboszlai D. 38. Gravenberch R. 23. Munoz V. 7. Wirtz F. 29. Barcola B. 9. Isak A.	1. Leno B. (G) 21. Castagne T. 22. Affengruber D. 3. Bassey C. (C) 33. Robinson A. 16. Berge S. 19. Charles S. 14. Bobb O. 24. King J. 17. Iwobi A. 7. Garcia G.
Substitutes
3. Endo W. 30. Frimpong J. 18. Gakpo C. 6. Kerkez M. 67. Koumas L. 10. Mac Allister A. 25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 73. Ngumoha R. 42. Nyoni T.	5. Andersen J. 11. Kevin 15. Larsson H. 23. Lecomte B. (G) 20. Manuel Angel 8. Palacios C. 9. Rodrigo Muniz 32. Smith Rowe E. 2. Tete K.
Coaches
Iraola A.	Arbeloa A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Tsimikas K. ↓, Kerkez M. ↑,
60', Munoz V. ↓, Gakpo C. ↑,
60', Gravenberch R. ↓, Mac Allister A. ↑,
63', Bobb O. ↓, Tete K. ↑,
72', Barcola B. ↓, Ngumoha R. ↑,
72', Araujo R. ↓, Frimpong J. ↑,
72', Castagne T. ↓, Kevin ↑,
77', Garcia G. ↓, Rodrigo Muniz ↑,
77', King J. ↓, Smith Rowe E. ↑,
77', Iwobi A. ↓, Larsson H. ↑,
81', Tete K. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 2.

Liverpool is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Fulham's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Fulham may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Fulham has had a series of home games.

In this match, Liverpool is the clear favorite.

There will not play in Liverpool: Bradley C. (Knee Injury) Chiesa F. (Back Injury) Ekitike H. (Achilles Tendon Injury) Leoni G. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Fulham: Cairney T. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Liverpool: Gakpo C. (Muscle Injury) Gomez J. (Muscle Injury)

We predict that Liverpool will win today's game, with odds of 1.46.

In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 11 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 40:22. (average 2.1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:8. (average 2.1:0.8).

Outrights of English Premier League for now

Liverpool: 7.96% Fulham: 0.22%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Liverpool	5	2	3	0	7:4	3	9
19	Fulham	5	0	2	3	5:8	-3	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool FC
UEFA Champions League
09.09.26	Liverpool - Atlético Madrid	2:1 ✺
English Premier League
04.09.26	Ipswich Town - Liverpool	0:2 ✺
29.08.26	Liverpool - Nottingham Forest	2:2 ✺
23.08.26	Newcastle United - Liverpool	2:2 ✺
Club Friendly
16.08.26	Liverpool - Como	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WWTTW
- Fulham FC
English Premier League
05.09.26	Fulham - Crystal Palace	2:3 ✺
30.08.26	Sunderland - Fulham	1:0 ✺
English League Cup
27.08.26	Fulham - AFC Wimbledon	3:0 ✺
English Premier League
24.08.26	Fulham - Chelsea	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Fulham - Stuttgart	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLWLW

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
11.04.26	Liverpool - Fulham	2:0
04.01.26	Fulham - Liverpool	2:2
06.04.25	Fulham - Liverpool	3:2
14.12.24	Liverpool - Fulham	2:2
21.04.24	Fulham - Liverpool	1:3
English League Cup
24.01.24	Fulham - Liverpool	1:1
10.01.24	Liverpool - Fulham	2:1

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