Match Info

WORLD: CLUB FRIENDLY

Date: 11 December 2022, Sunday

Location: Al Maktoum Stadium (Dubai)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	SportKlub
Croatia	SportKlub
Serbia	SportKlub
Slovenia	SportKlub


	Liverpool		Lyon

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.68	3.7	4
	1.74	4.1	3.9	Watch
	1.77	4	3.8
	1.84	4.26	3.57
	1.73	3.7	3.8	Watch
	1.74	3.9	3.72	Watch
	1.77	4	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↓ (2.3)	3.95 ↑ (3.44)	3.8 ↑ (2.65)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool
52.5%

Draw
23.3%

Lyon
24.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.4%

26.3%

34.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.1%

25.8%

33.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Liverpool's performance.

Lyon has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Lyon might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Liverpool than the current prediction. (-12.4%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Liverpool that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lyon than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lyon could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
83.3%	8.3%	8.3%

Liverpool - Lyon Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Lyon will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 62.2% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Liverpool is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Lyon is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Liverpool could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Liverpool won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Liverpool won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool FC
English Premier League
12.11.22	Liverpool - Southampton	3:1 ✺
English League Cup
09.11.22	Liverpool - Derby County	1:0 penalties ✺
English Premier League
06.11.22	Tottenham Hotspur - Liverpool	1:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League
01.11.22	Liverpool - Napoli	2:0 ✺
English Premier League
29.10.22	Liverpool - Leeds United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWWL
- Olympique Lyon
Club Friendly
08.12.22	Arsenal - Lyon	3:0 ✺
French National 1 - Group C
03.12.22	Lyon - Lyon La Duchère	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
01.12.22	Lyon - Oud-Heverlee Leuven	5:3 ✺
Coupe De France
18.11.22	Lyon - Lyon La Duchère	2:3 ✺
French National 1 - Group C
12.11.22	Lyon - Lyon La Duchère	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 LTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
31.07.19	Liverpool - Lyon	3:1

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