Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday 🏁 Finished

Location: Anfield (Liverpool) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Africa	—	DStv Now, SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport MaXimo 2, SuperSport Premier League
Argentina	16:00	Disney+
Armenia	23:00	Fast Sports 1, Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA English 1, TOD
Australia	05:00	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria Premier League, Sky Sport Austria Top Event
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Brazil	16:00	Claro TV+, Disney+, ESPN, Sky+, Vivo Play, Zapping
Bulgaria	22:00	Diema Sport 2, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	15:00	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada
Chile	16:00	Disney+
Colombia	14:00	Disney+
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 3, MAXtv To Go
Czech Republic	21:00	Nova Sport 2, Oneplay
Denmark	21:00	TV3+, Viaplay
Finland	22:00	Viaplay 2 Urheilu, Viaplay
Germany	21:00	Amazon Prime Video, Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event, WOW
Hungary	21:00	Match 4
Iceland	19:00	Viaplay
India	00:30	FanCode, FanCode
Iran	22:30	IRIB Varzesh
Ireland	20:00	NOW
Israel	22:00	Sport 2
Japan	04:00	DAZN Japan
Kenya	22:00	Gotv
Malaysia	03:00	Astro Football, Astro Go, SKY NET Sports 3, Sooka
Mexico	13:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Netherlands	21:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	07:00	beIN Connect
Nigeria	20:00	Supersport Maximo 2, SuperSport Premier League
North Central America	—	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 3 North, ESPN Caribbean
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Peru	14:00	Disney+
Portugal	20:00	Sport TV1
Romania	22:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2
Serbia	21:00	Arena Premium 1
Slovakia	21:00	Voyo
Slovenia	21:00	Arena Sport 1
South Africa	21:00	SuperSport Grandstand, SuperSport Premier League
Sweden	21:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	21:00	Sky Sport Premier League, Sky Sport Top Event
Tajikistan	00:00	Futbol TV
Ukraine	22:00	Kyivstar TV, Setanta Sports
United Kingdom	20:00	ITV 1, ITV X, NOW TV, Sky Go Extra, Sky Go, Sky Sports Main Event, Sky Sports UHD, STV, STV Player, UTV
Uruguay	16:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	15:00	Disney+


	Liverpool		Southampton

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.75	8.5	Watch
	1.25	6.4	10.5	Watch
	1.26	6.33	10.69
	1.53	3.76	6.90	Watch
	1.27	6.8	10.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↑ (1.11)	5.81 ↓ (8.84)	9.44 ↓ (19.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool
73.4%

Draw
16.5%

Southampton
10.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

84.5%

10.6%

4.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Liverpool's form might have worsened.

Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southampton's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	6.2%	0%

Liverpool - Southampton Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 79.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.25 - S`hampton (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 1 - 33.3%). S`hampton (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 30. Frimpong J. 2. Gomez J. 15. Leoni G. 26. Robertson A. (C) 3. Endo W. 42. Nyoni T. 14. Chiesa F. 17. Jones C. 73. Ngumoha R. 9. Isak A.	1. McCarthy A. (G) 38. Jelert E. 12. Edwards R. 15. Wood N. 17. Quarshie J. 3. Manning R. 19. Archer C. 4. Downes F. 20. Jander C. 13. Scienza L. 9. Armstrong A. (C)
Substitutes
12. Bradley C. 76. Danns J. 22. Ekitike H. 49. Gordon K. 6. Kerkez M. 7. Morrison K. 70. Pilling T. 46. Williams R. 28. Woodman F. (G)	24. Charles S. 42. Downs D. 18. Fellows T. 26. Fraser R. 6. Harwood-Bellis T. 25. Long G. (G) 27. Matsuki K. 46. Robinson J. 11. Stewart R.
Coaches
Slot A.	Still W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Isak A. ⚽, Chiesa F. (A),
45', Archer C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Isak A. ↓, Ekitike H. ↑,
51', Jander C. ↓, Charles S. ↑,
51', Archer C. ↓, Downs D. ↑,
53', Ekitike H. 🟨,
57', Jones C. ↓, Bradley C. ↑,
62', Scienza L. ↓, Robinson J. ↑,
75', Ngumoha R. ↓, Danns J. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Charles S. ⚽, Quarshie J. (A),
81', Leoni G. ↓, Kerkez M. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Ekitike H. ⚽, Chiesa F. (A),
86', Ekitike H. 🟨,
88', Edwards R. ↓, Stewart R. ↑,
88', Jelert E. ↓, Fellows T. ↑,
90+2', Manning R. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 4.

Liverpool is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

S`hampton's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

S`hampton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Liverpool is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Liverpool: Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Chambers L. (Back Injury) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in S`hampton: Welington (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 43:15. (average 2.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 25:3. (average 2.5:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool FC
English Premier League
20.09.25	Liverpool - Everton	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.09.25	Liverpool - Atlético Madrid	3:2 ✺
English Premier League
14.09.25	Burnley - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Liverpool - Arsenal	1:0 ✺
25.08.25	Newcastle United - Liverpool	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW
- Southampton FC
English League Championship
20.09.25	Hull City - Southampton	3:1 ✺
14.09.25	Southampton - Portsmouth	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Watford - Southampton	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.25	Norwich City - Southampton	0:3 ✺
English League Championship
23.08.25	Southampton - Stoke City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
08.03.25	Liverpool - Southampton	3:1
English League Cup
18.12.24	Southampton - Liverpool	1:2
English Premier League
24.11.24	Southampton - Liverpool	2:3
English FA Cup
28.02.24	Liverpool - Southampton	3:0
English Premier League
28.05.23	Southampton - Liverpool	4:4
12.11.22	Liverpool - Southampton	3:1
17.05.22	Southampton - Liverpool	1:2

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