Match Info

EFL Cup - 1/16-finals

Date: 23 September 2025, Tuesday

Location: Anfield (Liverpool)

Referee: Bramall T. (Eng)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Liverpool		Southampton

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.75	8.5	Watch
	1.25	6.4	10.5	Watch
	1.26	6.33	10.69
	1.53	3.76	6.90	Watch
	1.27	6.8	10.6	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↑ (1.11)	5.81 ↓ (8.84)	9.44 ↓ (19.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Liverpool
73.4%

Draw
16.5%

Southampton
10.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

84.5%

10.6%

4.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Liverpool has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Liverpool's form might have worsened.

Southampton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Southampton's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
93.7%	6.2%	0%

Liverpool - Southampton Predictions

Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Liverpool will win (votes: 13 - 92.9%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Liverpool: 79.4% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.25 - S`hampton (1.89) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Liverpool (votes: 1 - 33.3%). S`hampton (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Mamardashvili G. (G) 30. Frimpong J. 2. Gomez J. 15. Leoni G. 26. Robertson A. (C) 3. Endo W. 42. Nyoni T. 14. Chiesa F. 17. Jones C. 73. Ngumoha R. 9. Isak A.	1. McCarthy A. (G) 38. Jelert E. 12. Edwards R. 15. Wood N. 17. Quarshie J. 3. Manning R. 19. Archer C. 4. Downes F. 20. Jander C. 13. Scienza L. 9. Armstrong A. (C)
Substitutes
12. Bradley C. 76. Danns J. 22. Ekitike H. 49. Gordon K. 6. Kerkez M. 7. Morrison K. 70. Pilling T. 46. Williams R. 28. Woodman F. (G)	24. Charles S. 42. Downs D. 18. Fellows T. 26. Fraser R. 6. Harwood-Bellis T. 25. Long G. (G) 27. Matsuki K. 46. Robinson J. 11. Stewart R.
Coaches
Slot A.	Still W.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
43', 1 - 0, Isak A. ⚽, Chiesa F. (A),
45', Archer C. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Isak A. ↓, Ekitike H. ↑,
51', Jander C. ↓, Charles S. ↑,
51', Archer C. ↓, Downs D. ↑,
53', Ekitike H. 🟨,
57', Jones C. ↓, Bradley C. ↑,
62', Scienza L. ↓, Robinson J. ↑,
75', Ngumoha R. ↓, Danns J. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Charles S. ⚽, Quarshie J. (A),
81', Leoni G. ↓, Kerkez M. ↑,
85', 2 - 1, Ekitike H. ⚽, Chiesa F. (A),
86', Ekitike H. 🟨,
88', Edwards R. ↓, Stewart R. ↑,
88', Jelert E. ↓, Fellows T. ↑,
90+2', Manning R. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 4.

Liverpool is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).

S`hampton's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

S`hampton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Liverpool is the obvious favorite.

There will not play in Liverpool: Bajcetic S. (Hamstring Injury) Chambers L. (Back Injury) Scanlon C. (Hamstring Injury)

There will not play in S`hampton: Welington (Ankle Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Liverpool won 14 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 43:15. (average 2.2:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Liverpool won 8 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 25:3. (average 2.5:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Liverpool FC
English Premier League
20.09.25	Liverpool - Everton	2:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.09.25	Liverpool - Atlético Madrid	3:2 ✺
English Premier League
14.09.25	Burnley - Liverpool	0:1 ✺
31.08.25	Liverpool - Arsenal	1:0 ✺
25.08.25	Newcastle United - Liverpool	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWW
- Southampton FC
English League Championship
20.09.25	Hull City - Southampton	3:1 ✺
14.09.25	Southampton - Portsmouth	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Watford - Southampton	2:2 ✺
English League Cup
26.08.25	Norwich City - Southampton	0:3 ✺
English League Championship
23.08.25	Southampton - Stoke City	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

English Premier League
08.03.25	Liverpool - Southampton	3:1
English League Cup
18.12.24	Southampton - Liverpool	1:2
English Premier League
24.11.24	Southampton - Liverpool	2:3
English FA Cup
28.02.24	Liverpool - Southampton	3:0
English Premier League
28.05.23	Southampton - Liverpool	4:4
12.11.22	Liverpool - Southampton	3:1
17.05.22	Southampton - Liverpool	1:2

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