Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 12

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Armando Picchi (Livorno)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 257, Sky Sport Uno


	Livorno		Forlì

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	2.62	2.92	2.68
	2.25	3.41	2.96	Watch
	2.62	2.91	2.58	Watch
	2.75	3	2.62
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.56 ↑ (2.23)	3.06 ↓ (3.29)	2.71 ↓ (2.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Livorno
36%

Draw
30.1%

Forlì
34%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

41.1%

27.9%

31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40.8%

27.7%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Livorno's form might have worsened.

Forlì has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Forlì than the current prediction. (-2.8%)

Livorno - Forlì Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Seghetti J. (G) 15. Ghezzi S. 2. Gentile D. 26. Noce M. 19. Antoni E. 4. Odjer M. 20. Haveri K. 70. Cioffi A. 95. Marchesi F. 55. Peralta D. 9. Dionisi F.	22. Martelli L. (G) 27. Manetti G. 25. Elia M. 4. Saporetti L. 24. Cavallini G. 6. Franzolini A. 23. De Risio C. 3. Menarini F. 10. Macri D. 7. Petrelli E. 11. Farinelli N.
Substitutes
49. Baldi L. 14. Biondi K. 44. Bonassi L. 16. Calvosa A. 22. Ciobanu N. D. (G) 28. Hamlili Z. 11. Malva A. 23. Marinari J. 77. Mawete J. C. 6. Monaco S. 5. Nwachukwu S. J. 17. Panaioli L. 18. Panattoni M. 1. Tani F. (G)	15. Berti N. 1. Calvani S. (G) 30. Coveri V. 18. Giovannini A. 29. Graziani G. 2. Mandrelli N. 9. Manuzzi F. 32. Pellizzari S. 8. Ripani D. 33. Saporetti S. 21. Scorza C. 14. Spinelli A. 16. Valentini F. 12. Veliaj G. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
6', Menarini F. 🟨,
18', 0 - 1, Petrelli E. ⚽,
23', 0 - 2, Manetti G. ⚽,
28', Elia M. 🟨,
36', Saporetti L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Peralta D. ↓, Bonassi L. ↑,
46', Haveri K. ↓, Biondi K. ↑,
46', Antoni E. 🟨,
51', Manetti G. ↓, Mandrelli N. ↑,
56', 1 - 2, Dionisi F. ⚽,
57', Ghezzi S. ↓, Mawete J. C. ↑,
61', De Risio C. 🟨,
65', Farinelli N. ↓, Coveri V. ↑,
65', Franzolini A. ↓, Scorza C. ↑,
66', Petrelli E. 🟨,
72', 1 - 3, Coveri V. ⚽,
78', Gentile D. ↓, Malva A. ↑,
83', Marchesi F. ↓, Panattoni M. ↑,
84', Menarini F. ↓, Ripani D. ↑,
84', Petrelli E. ↓, Manuzzi F. ↑,
87', 2 - 3, Noce M. ⚽,
90+5', Odjer M. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals)).

Livorno has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

In recent matches, Forlì has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Livorno may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Forlì has had a series of home games.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group B
27.10.25	Perugia - Livorno	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Livorno - Sambenedettese	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	Pineto - Livorno	3:0 ✺
03.10.25	Pianese - Livorno	2:1 ✺
27.09.25	Livorno - Campobasso	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 LWLLT
- Forli FC
Coppa Italia Serie C
28.10.25	Forlì - Union ArzignanoChiampo	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
25.10.25	Forlì - Pineto	1:1 ✺
17.10.25	Sassari Torres - Forlì	0:2 ✺
11.10.25	Forlì - Ternana	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Forlì - Guidonia Montecelio	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LTWTW

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