Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 16

Date: 29 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Stadio Pietro Barbetti (Gubbio)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252


	Gubbio		Livorno

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.08	3.05	3.55
	2.17	3.1	3.82
	1.94	3.32	3.82	Watch
	2.07	2.94	3.6	Watch
	2.08	3	3.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.07 ↑ (2.05)	3.08 ↓ (3.25)	3.71 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gubbio
44.9%

Draw
30.1%

Livorno
25%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

28.2%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45%

28.1%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gubbio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Livorno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Gubbio than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

Gubbio - Livorno Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bagnolini N. (G) 5. Di Bitonto A. 4. Baroncelli L. 15. Signorini A. 34. Zallu F. 82. Djankpata H. 8. Rosaia G. 21. Carraro F. 29. Murru N. 73. Ghirardello T. 9. Tommasini C.	12. Seghetti J. (G) 77. Mawete J. C. 26. Noce M. 49. Baldi L. 19. Antoni E. 95. Marchesi F. 28. Hamlili Z. 14. Biondi K. 55. Peralta D. 13. Di Carmine S. 9. Dionisi F.
Substitutes
36. Barizza M. 23. Bruscagin M. 78. Conti V. 40. Costa G. 10. Di Massimo A. 44. Hraiech S. 12. Krapikas T. (G) 19. La Mantia A. 77. Minta A. 80. Niang O. 27. Podda L. 56. Tomasella M. (G)	44. Bonassi L. 16. Calvosa A. 22. Ciobanu N. D. (G) 70. Cioffi A. 20. Haveri K. 11. Malva A. 23. Marinari J. 5. Nwachukwu S. J. 4. Odjer M. 17. Panaioli L. 18. Panattoni M. 1. Tani F. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
43', Hamlili Z. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
50', Di Bitonto A. 🟨,
60', Ghirardello T. ↓, Di Massimo A. ↑,
62', Di Carmine S. 🟨,
65', Dionisi F. ↓, Cioffi A. ↑,
65', Biondi K. ↓, Bonassi L. ↑,
71', Zallu F. ↓, Costa G. ↑,
71', Djankpata H. ↓, Minta A. ↑,
80', Baroncelli L. ↓, Podda L. ↑,
82', Peralta D. ↓, Panaioli L. ↑,
90', Di Massimo A. 🟨,
90+2', Antoni E. ↓, Haveri K. ↑,
90+2', Hamlili Z. ↓, Odjer M. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 15).

In recent matches, Gubbio has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Livorno has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Gubbio may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Gubbio could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Gubbio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home matches between the teams, Gubbio won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- AS Gubbio 1910
Italian Serie C Group B
26.11.25	Gubbio - Juventus U23	1:1 ✺
22.11.25	Ravenna - Gubbio	1:1 ✺
07.11.25	Ascoli - Gubbio	1:1 ✺
02.11.25	Gubbio - Ternana	3:3 ✺
25.10.25	Carpi - Gubbio	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.5 TTTTW
- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group B
24.11.25	Livorno - Sassari Torres	3:1 ✺
16.11.25	Livorno - Ravenna	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Carpi - Livorno	2:0 ✺
02.11.25	Livorno - Forlì	2:3 ✺
27.10.25	Perugia - Livorno	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
28.07.19	Gubbio - Livorno	1:1
Italian Serie B
31.03.12	Gubbio - Livorno	1:2

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