Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 16

Date: 30 November 2025, Sunday

Location: Stadio Giuseppe Moccagatta (Alessandria)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport Calcio


	Juventus U23		Perugia

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.62	3	2.62
	2.4	3.23	2.95
	2.28	3.22	3.06	Watch
	2.65	2.94	2.53	Watch
	2.9	3	2.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↑ (2.28)	3.08 ↓ (3.22)	2.73 ↓ (3.06)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventus U23
36%

Draw
30.1%

Perugia
33.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

28.9%

30.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.3%

27.8%

31.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventus U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus U23 than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	25%	25%

Juventus U23 - Perugia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Juventus U23 will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Perugia will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 25%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Perugia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

DNB - Juventus U23 (1.60) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Juventus U23 (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Perugia (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Mangiapoco S. (G) 32. Turicchia R. 3. Gil J. 18. Brugarello M. 15. Savio F. 16. Faticanti G. 30. Mazur P. 7. Puczka D. 10. Anghele L. 40. Cudrig N. 17. Guerra S.	1. Gemello L. (G) 26. Calapai L. 5. Angella G. 28. Riccardi D. 15. Dell'Orco C. 20. Tumbarello G. 16. Bartolomei P. 32. Megelaitis L. 11. Bacchin L. 9. Montevago D. 77. Manzari G.
Substitutes
11. Amaradio L. 13. Bassino A. 28. Bruno L. (G) 21. Crapisto F. 9. Deme S. 29. Fuscaldo M. (G) 31. Martinez B. 6. Ngana V. 90. Okoro A. 8. Owusu A. 26. Pagnucco F. 33. Perotti C. 19. Vacca A. 24. van Aarle S.	21. Broh J. 30. Giardino C. 98. Giraudo F. 6. Giunti G. 10. Matos 12. Moro L. (G) 29. Ogunseye R. 17. Terrnava D. 24. Torrasi E. 31. Tozzuolo A. 22. Vinti L. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
59', Megelaitis L. ↓, Torrasi E. ↑,
60', Bacchin L. ↓, Matos ↑,
67', Bartolomei P. ↓, Broh J. ↑,
77', Cudrig N. ↓, Deme S. ↑,
82', 1 - 0, Puczka D. ⚽,
88', Dell'Orco C. ↓, Giardino C. ↑,
88', Tumbarello G. ↓, Ogunseye R. ↑,
90+1', Anghele L. ↓, Okoro A. ↑,
90+4', Guerra S. ↓, Pagnucco F. ↑,

Preview

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 14 and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out)

Juventus U23 is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Perugia's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Juventus U23 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Juventus U23 has had a series of away games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Juventus U23 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:4. (average 0:2).

Including home match between the teams, Juventus U23 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.

Last Results with these Odds

Juventus U23 - the odds 2.28 are the expected chance of winning is 40.76%, but this team recently wins 33% of matches with these odds.

Perugia - the odds 3.06 are the expected chance of winning is 30.37%, but this team recently wins 25% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventus U23
Italian Serie C Group B
26.11.25	Gubbio - Juventus U23	1:1 ✺
23.11.25	Ternana - Juventus U23	1:0 ✺
09.11.25	Juventus U23 - Forlì	1:0 ✺
03.11.25	Vis Pesaro - Juventus U23	1:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
29.10.25	Renate - Juventus U23	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLWLL
- Perugia Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
24.11.25	Perugia - Vis Pesaro	2:1 ✺
15.11.25	Sassari Torres - Perugia	1:1 ✺
09.11.25	Perugia - Arezzo	0:0 ✺
02.11.25	Pontedera - Perugia	2:2 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
30.10.25	Latina - Perugia	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.4 WTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
25.02.24	Perugia - Juventus U23	2:0
22.10.23	Juventus U23 - Perugia	0:2

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