Match Info

Serie C - Group B - Round 20

Date: 4 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Libero Liberati (Terni)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 252, Sky Sport Uno


	Ternana		Livorno

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.72	3.3	4.2
	1.75	3.35	4.45
	1.76	3.36	4.53	Watch
	1.75	3	4.4
	1.75	3.18	4.65	Watch
	1.77	3.25	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.75 ↑ (1.7)	3.24 ↓ (3.4)	4.5 ↓ (4.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ternana
51.8%

Draw
28%

Livorno
20.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.1%

27%

18.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.3%

26.4%

18.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ternana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

Livorno has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ternana than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Livorno than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
76.9%	7.7%	15.4%

Ternana - Livorno Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Ternana will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Livorno will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 7.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Ternana: 54% – 99.8%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Ternana will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
71. D'Alterio F. (G) 20. Donati F. (C) 13. Maestrelli A. 87. Martella B. 17. Kerrigan L. 16. Garetto M. 8. McJannet E. 43. Ndrecka A. 30. Orellana M. 32. Pettinari S. 9. Dubickas E.	12. Seghetti J. (G) 77. Mawete J. C. 26. Noce M. 49. Baldi L. 20. Haveri K. 14. Biondi K. 28. Hamlili Z. 17. Panaioli L. 55. Peralta D. 9. Dionisi F. 13. Di Carmine S.
Substitutes
2. Bianay Balcot C. 11. Brignola E. 38. Bruti T. 19. Capuano M. 70. Durmush M. 10. Leonardi S. 6. Loiacono G. 12. Morlupo A. (G) 80. Proietti M. 7. Romeo F. 5. Tripi F. 34. Turella M. 33. Valenti M. 1. Vitali T. (G)	19. Antoni E. 44. Bonassi L. 22. Ciobanu N. D. (G) 70. Cioffi A. 2. Gentile D. 15. Ghezzi S. 11. Malva A. 23. Marinari J. 5. Nwachukwu S. J. 4. Odjer M. 18. Panattoni M. 1. Tani F. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
6', 0 - 1, Biondi K. ⚽,
11', 1 - 1, Kerrigan L. ⚽,
27', Panaioli L. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 2 - 1, Dubickas E. ⚽,
59', Orellana M. ↓, Proietti M. ↑,
66', Peralta D. ↓, Bonassi L. ↑,
66', Biondi K. ↓, Cioffi A. ↑,
74', Proietti M. 🟨,
80', Pettinari S. ↓, Leonardi S. ↑,
80', Kerrigan L. ↓, Bianay Balcot C. ↑,
80', Dubickas E. ↓, Durmush M. ↑,
80', Mawete J. C. ↓, Gentile D. ↑,
80', Panaioli L. ↓, Panattoni M. ↑,
86', Maestrelli A. ↓, Loiacono G. ↑,
86', Garetto M. 🟨,
89', Bonassi L. 🟨,
90+3', Dionisi F. ↓, Marinari J. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 11 and 14).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Ternana won 0.

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Ternana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Livorno has had a series of home games.

In this match, Ternana is seen as the favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Ternana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 5:15. (average 0.7:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Ternana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:8. (average 1:2.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Livorno	8	4	2	2	10:9	1	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ternana Calcio
Italian Serie C Group B
21.12.25	Pianese - Ternana	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Ternana - Bra	2:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Serie C
10.12.25	Ternana - Brescia	4:1 ✺
Italian Serie C Group B
07.12.25	Perugia - Ternana	1:2 ✺
30.11.25	Ternana - Guidonia Montecelio	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWWWL
- US Livorno 1915
Italian Serie C Group B
20.12.25	Livorno - Pontedera	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Livorno - Arezzo	2:1 ✺
29.11.25	Gubbio - Livorno	0:0 ✺
24.11.25	Livorno - Sassari Torres	3:1 ✺
16.11.25	Livorno - Ravenna	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 19.8 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group B
22.08.25	Livorno - Ternana	1:0
Italian Serie B
06.02.16	Livorno - Ternana	1:0
21.09.15	Ternana - Livorno	2:3
07.03.15	Livorno - Ternana	3:1
18.10.14	Ternana - Livorno	0:4
04.05.13	Ternana - Livorno	1:1
14.12.12	Livorno - Ternana	2:1

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