Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 9

Date: 15 September 2026, Tuesday

Location: Maesdu Park (Llandudno)

Referee: Jones A. (Wal)

Where to Watch on TV:


Wales	Cymru Football TV


	Llandudno		Caernarfon Town

	1	X	2
	3.20	3.30	1.95
	3.10	3.50	1.96
	3.70	3.80	2.01
	3.25	3.66	2.07	Watch
	3.65	3.60	1.89
	3.37	3.68	2.00
	3.25	3.50	1.98
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.36 ↑ (3.27)	3.58 ↑ (3.55)	1.98 ↑ (1.94)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llandudno
27.5%

Draw
25.8%

Caernarfon Town
46.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

27.7%

25.5%

46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.9%

24.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llandudno has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Caernarfon Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llandudno than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Caernarfon Town than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Llandudno - Caernarfon Town Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 3 - under (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Torrance J. (G) 8. Cadwallader M. 4. Cartwright I. 21. Edwards K. 52. Flint N. 26. Harris J. J. 7. Lloyd K. 16. Maher B. 2. Stephens C. 6. Weaver R. 22. Williams M.	1. Roberts C. (G) 19. Bradley S. 11. Cieslewicz A. 9. Clarke Z. 14. Edwards N. 10. Evans O. 23. Marriott Ch. 7. Mendes P. 5. Mooney P. 16. Nash B. 15. Smith D.
Substitutes
17. Faux J. 51. Fisher J. (G) 15. Grogan N. 29. Higgins L. 28. Hughes L. 12. Morris C. 20. Pownall J.	6. Canavan J. 3. Jones M. 21. Nyamwanza S. 27. Sears R. 13. Thomas H. (G) 39. Wyn H. 25. Zanzala O.
Coaches
Hadaway J.	Davies R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Edwards N. ⚽,
35', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
47', 1 - 1, Maher B. ⚽,
60', 🟨,
70', Mooney P. ↓, Sears R. ↑,
70', Clarke Z. ↓, Canavan J. ↑,
73', 🟨,
79', Williams M. ↓, Hughes L. ↑,
83', Nash B. 🟨,
86', Marriott Ch. ↓, Jones M. ↑,
86', Cadwallader M. ↓, Morris C. ↑,
90+3', 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).

Llandudno has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Caernarfon is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

Caernarfon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Llandudno won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 5:8. (average 1.3:2).

Including home matches between the teams, Llandudno won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).

Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now

Caernarfon: 2.4%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Caernarfon	12	7	2	3	35:14	21	23
10	Llandudno	12	5	1	6	21:19	2	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llandudno FC
Welsh Cymru Premier
11.09.26	Barry Town United - Llandudno	4:1 ✺
04.09.26	Llandudno - Ammanford	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Colwyn Bay - Llandudno	2:0 ✺
28.08.26	Llandudno - Haverfordwest County	2:0 ✺
21.08.26	Pen-y-Bont - Llandudno	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 LWLWL
- Caernarfon Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
11.09.26	Ammanford - Caernarfon Town	0:5 ✺
04.09.26	Caernarfon Town - Flint Town United	3:0 ✺
31.08.26	Caernarfon Town - The New Saints	2:3 ✺
28.08.26	Holywell Town - Caernarfon Town	3:5 ✺
21.08.26	Trefelin - Caernarfon Town	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WWLWW

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
12.07.25	Llandudno - Caernarfon Town	1:3
Welsh Cymru Premier
01.01.19	Llandudno - Caernarfon Town	1:1
29.12.18	Caernarfon Town - Llandudno	3:3
Welsh League Cup
29.08.17	Llandudno - Caernarfon Town	0:1

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