Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 8

Date: 11 September 2026, Friday

Location: Ammanford Recreation Ground (Ammanford)

Referee: Griffith I. A. (Wal)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Wales	Cymru Football TV


	Ammanford		Caernarfon Town

	1	X	2
	13.50	7.50	1.13
	11.00	6.10	1.17
	14.87	8.33	1.14
	13.4	6.53	1.2	Watch
	14.00	7.15	1.12
	16.00	7.10	1.10	Watch
	14.00	7.40	1.12
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.82 ↑ (8.2)	7.16 ↑ (4.9)	1.14 ↓ (1.29)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Ammanford
6.6%

Draw
12.8%

Caernarfon Town
80.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

11%

18.5%

70.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Ammanford has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.4%)

Caernarfon Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caernarfon Town's recent form is better than expected.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Ammanford - Caernarfon Town Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Caernarfon will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +2.5 - Ammanford (1.64) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Ammanford (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
99. Williams O. (G) 30. Case J. M. 17. Davies C. L. 26. Davies L. 24. Evans J. 13. Hopkins J. 7. John A. 8. Orme A. (C) 3. Sauane B. 12. Sylvester L. 2. Woodhouse S.	1. Roberts C. (G) 19. Bradley S. 11. Cieslewicz A. 9. Clarke Z. 14. Edwards N. 10. Evans O. 23. Marriott Ch. 7. Mendes P. 5. Mooney P. 16. Nash B. 15. Smith D.
Substitutes
27. Davies C. 11. Davies R. 20. Lloyd H. 23. Owen L. 25. Shirt C.	6. Canavan J. 3. Jones M. 21. Nyamwanza S. 27. Sears R. 13. Thomas H. (G) 39. Wyn H. 25. Zanzala O.
Coaches
Thomas W.	Davies R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
19', Marriott Ch. 🟨,
22', 0 - 1, Mooney P. ⚽,
28', Davies C. L. ↓, Owen L. ↑,
34', Evans O. 🟨,
37', 0 - 2, Bradley S. ⚽,
44', Owen L. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
61', Case J. M. ↓, Shirt C. ↑,
62', Clarke Z. ↓, Zanzala O. ↑,
62', Evans O. ↓, Canavan J. ↑,
67', Davies L. 🟥,
68', 0 - 3, Bradley S. (Penalty Awarded),
71', Bradley S. ↓, Jones M. ↑,
71', Cieslewicz A. ↓, Nyamwanza S. ↑,
74', John A. ↓, Davies R. ↑,
75', Evans J. ↓, Lloyd H. ↑,
85', Mendes P. ↓, Wyn H. ↑,
90', 0 - 4, Mooney P. ⚽,
90+3', 0 - 5, Wyn H. ⚽,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Cymru Premier (Relegation Group: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier (Championship Group: )).

Ammanford has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Caernarfon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).

In this match, Caernarfon is the undisputed favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Ammanford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Including home match between the teams, Ammanford won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:4.

Outrights of Welsh Cymru Premier for now

Caernarfon: 2.4%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Caernarfon	12	7	2	3	35:14	21	23
14	Ammanford	12	1	3	8	9:32	-23	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Ammanford AFC
Welsh Cymru Premier
04.09.26	Llandudno - Ammanford	2:0 ✺
31.08.26	Ammanford - Cardiff Metropolitan	0:5 ✺
28.08.26	Trefelin - Ammanford	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Ammanford - Gap Connahs Quay	0:2 ✺
14.08.26	Airbus UK Broughton - Ammanford	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.5 LLTLL
- Caernarfon Town
Welsh Cymru Premier
04.09.26	Caernarfon Town - Flint Town United	3:0 ✺
31.08.26	Caernarfon Town - The New Saints	2:3 ✺
28.08.26	Holywell Town - Caernarfon Town	3:5 ✺
21.08.26	Trefelin - Caernarfon Town	0:2 ✺
15.08.26	Caernarfon Town - Colwyn Bay	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh FA Cup
24.01.20	Ammanford - Caernarfon Town	0:4

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