Match Info

Cymru South - Round 10

Date: 3 October 2026, Saturday


	Cardiff Draconians		Newport City

	1	X	2
	2.62	3.4	2.22
	2.63	3.41	2.39
	2.7	3.66	2.35	Watch
	2.6	3.35	2.35
	2.88	3.76	2.19
	2.6	3.5	2.23
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↓ (2.79)	3.51 ↓ (3.59)	2.29 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Cardiff Draconians
34.2%

Draw
26%

Newport City
39.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

25.9%

40.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Cardiff Draconians has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Newport City has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Cardiff Draconians - Newport City Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Amin D. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
52', 1 - 1, ⚽,
58', Cawley S. (Penalty Awarded),

Preview

An exciting matchup between two close rivals in the standings (ranked 13th and 12th).

In recent outings, Cardiff Draconians has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Cardiff Draconians may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Cardiff Draconians has enjoyed a run of consecutive matches in front of its home crowd.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 2 head-to-head meetings, Cardiff Draconians has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:3 (averaging 0.5:1.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Cardiff Draconians against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:1 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
12	Newport City	7	2	2	3	10:6	4	8
13	Cardiff Draconians	7	2	2	3	9:12	-3	8

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Cardiff Draconians
Welsh Cymru South
26.09.26	Cardiff Draconians - Caerau Ely	1:3 ✺
12.09.26	Cardiff Draconians - Baglan Dragons	2:1 ✺
22.08.26	Cardiff Draconians - Llanelli	4:2 ✺
15.08.26	Cardiff Draconians - Pontypridd United	1:4 ✺
07.08.26	Caerphilly Athletic - Cardiff Draconians	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 LWWLT
- Newport City FC
Welsh Cymru South
25.09.26	Afan Lido - Newport City	0:0 ✺
28.08.26	Newport City - Ynyshir Albions	0:1 ✺
21.08.26	Newport City - Baglan Dragons	0:1 ✺
15.08.26	Pontardawe Town - Newport City	0:4 ✺
31.07.26	Llanelli - Newport City	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.1 TLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
28.03.26	Cardiff Draconians - Newport City	0:1
10.12.25	Newport City - Cardiff Draconians	2:1

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