Match Info

Cymru South - Round 30

Date: 12 April 2025, Saturday

Location: Stebonheath Park (Llanelli)


	Llanelli		Trefelin

	1	X	2
	1.49	4.4	5
	1.54	4.51	5.2	Watch
	1.48	4.3	5.26
	1.49	4.4	5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↑ (1.47)	4.4 ↓ (4.6)	5.12 ↑ (4.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llanelli
61.2%

Draw
20.9%

Trefelin
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.8%

19.8%

18.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.2%

20.2%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llanelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)

Trefelin has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanelli than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trefelin than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Llanelli - Trefelin Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
37', 1 - 0, Wharton T. ⚽,
45+4', Trundle L. 🟥,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
89', 2 - 0, Rees K. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 0, Eason L. ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 3).

Llanelli is Confirmed as championsnQualified for Cymru Premier

Last 5 head-to-head matches Llanelli won 1.

Recent matches Llanelli is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Trefelin is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Trefelin could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Llanelli is a favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Llanelli won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.7:1.5).

Including matches at home between the teams Llanelli won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2:6 (average 1:3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llanelli
Welsh Cymru South
04.04.25	Cambrian United - Llanelli	1:1 ✺
28.03.25	Llanelli - Afan Lido	1:1 ✺
21.03.25	Pontypridd United - Llanelli	1:2 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
15.03.25	Gap Connahs Quay - Llanelli	2:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
07.03.25	Llanelli - Caerau Ely	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 TTWLW
- Trefelin BGC
Welsh Cymru South
04.04.25	Trefelin - Taffs Well AFC	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Carmarthen Town - Trefelin	1:1 ✺
21.03.25	Ammanford - Trefelin	1:2 ✺
07.03.25	Trefelin - Penrhiwceiber Rangers	1:2 ✺
28.02.25	Cambrian United - Trefelin	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WTWLW

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
27.09.24	Trefelin - Llanelli	1:1
02.02.24	Trefelin - Llanelli	2:2
29.09.23	Llanelli - Trefelin	1:2
29.04.23	Trefelin - Llanelli	0:4
06.12.22	Llanelli - Trefelin	1:4
26.03.22	Trefelin - Llanelli	0:1

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