Match Info

Cymru Premier - Round 11

Date: 4 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Essity Stadium (Flint)

Referee: Williams I. (Wal)


	Gap Connahs Quay		Llanelli

	1	X	2
	1.22	5.75	9
	1.23	5.7	9.6
	1.19	6.63	12.52
	1.06	10.98	29.23	Watch
	1.23	5.55	11.2
	1.24	5.8	9.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.2 ↑ (1.18)	6.74 ↑ (6.55)	13.56 ↑ (11.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Gap Connahs Quay
79%

Draw
14%

Llanelli
7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

78.2%

14%

7.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gap Connahs Quay has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

Llanelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

Gap Connahs Quay - Llanelli Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Margetson K. (G) 26. Cook J. 6. Edwards K. 14. Edwards N. 21. Fregapane M. 17. Hughes R. 5. Nash B. 9. Oswell J. 22. Poole D. 8. West C. 18. Woodcock M.	1. Pennock A. (G) 22. Baker J. 17. Booth R. 2. Bright H. 9. Cann E. 4. Cronin S. 21. Evans M. 6. Hopkins J. 7. Lloyd J. 23. Sanca N. 8. Wharton T.
Substitutes
35. Berry R. (G) 11. Bratley C. 19. Buah A. 12. Franklin H. 32. Hughes J. 10. Ismail Z. 4. Roberts D.	10. Bonthron A. 15. Gibbings B. 11. Jenkins T. 20. Lester J. 12. Lewis M. (G) 16. Norris J. 14. Parsons S. S.
Coaches
Disney J.	John L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
29', Wharton T. 🟨,
39', Cook J. 🟨,
45+1', 1 - 0, Cook J. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Poole D. ↓, Roberts D. ↑,
59', Booth R. ↓, Jenkins T. ↑,
59', Evans M. ↓, Gibbings B. ↑,
62', Nash B. 🟨,
64', 2 - 0, West C. ⚽,
64', Woodcock M. ↓, Ismail Z. ↑,
74', Cann E. ↓, Norris J. ↑,
75', Wharton T. ↓, Lester J. ↑,
75', Lloyd J. ↓, Bonthron A. ↑,
79', Oswell J. ↓, Franklin H. ↑,
83', Edwards N. 🟨,
88', 3 - 0, Franklin H. ⚽,
90', Hughes R. ↓, Hughes J. ↑,
90', Cook J. ↓, Bratley C. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Connahs Quay won 5.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Llanelli may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Connahs Quay is the clear favorite.

In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Connahs Quay won 8 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 31:5. (average 3.9:0.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Connahs Quay won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 15:4. (average 3.8:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Gap Connahs Quay
Welsh Cymru Premier
27.09.25	Barry Town United - Gap Connahs Quay	0:0 ✺
23.09.25	Gap Connahs Quay - Caernarfon Town	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Haverfordwest County - Gap Connahs Quay	1:3 ✺
13.09.25	Gap Connahs Quay - Cardiff Metropolitan	1:1 ✺
Welsh League Cup
10.09.25	Gap Connahs Quay - The New Saints	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLWTL
- Llanelli
Welsh Cymru Premier
26.09.25	Llanelli - Haverfordwest County	1:0 ✺
23.09.25	Briton Ferry Llansawel - Llanelli	1:2 ✺
20.09.25	Llanelli - Colwyn Bay	0:0 ✺
13.09.25	The New Saints - Llanelli	6:0 ✺
Welsh League Cup
10.09.25	Barry Town United - Llanelli	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 36.1 WWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh FA Cup
15.03.25	Gap Connahs Quay - Llanelli	2:1
14.01.23	Llanelli - Gap Connahs Quay	0:2
Welsh Cymru Premier
03.11.18	Gap Connahs Quay - Llanelli	6:0
12.08.18	Llanelli - Gap Connahs Quay	0:7
13.04.13	Gap Connahs Quay - Llanelli	4:2
23.02.13	Llanelli - Gap Connahs Quay	0:1
11.11.12	Llanelli - Gap Connahs Quay	1:6

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