Match Info

WALES: Cymru South - Round 26

Date: 7 March 2025, Friday

Location: Stebonheath Park (Llanelli)


	Llanelli		Caerau Ely

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.3	4.7
	1.48	4.47	5.01
	1.55	4.41	5.18	Watch
	1.45	4.33	5.58
	1.53	4.3	4.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.35)	4.36 ↓ (5.06)	5.03 ↓ (6.55)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llanelli
60.8%

Draw
21%

Caerau Ely
18.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.9%

18.1%

14%

Our Initial ML Estimation

72.2%

17%

13.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llanelli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Llanelli's form might have worsened.

Caerau Ely has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanelli than the current prediction. (+11.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Llanelli, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caerau Ely than the current prediction. (-5%)

Llanelli - Caerau Ely Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 1)
53', 1 - 0, Cann E. ⚽,
61', 2 - 0, Eason L. ⚽,
90+1', 3 - 0, Williams D. ⚽,
90+3', 3 - 1, Hywel D. ⚽,

Preview

One of which is a team leader another one is from mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Cymru Premier and 10).

Llanelli is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Caerau is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Caerau have a series of home games.

In this match Llanelli is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Llanelli won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:2 (average 2.7:0.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Llanelli won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4:0

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llanelli
Welsh Cymru South
28.02.25	Goytre United - Llanelli	2:4 ✺
21.02.25	Llanelli - Ammanford	0:1 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
15.02.25	Denbigh Town - Llanelli	0:1 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
08.02.25	Penrhiwceiber Rangers - Llanelli	0:1 ✺
31.01.25	Llanelli - Trethomas Bluebirds	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WLWWT
- Caerau Ely
Welsh Cymru South
28.02.25	Caerau Ely - Taffs Well AFC	3:1 ✺
21.02.25	Trethomas Bluebirds - Caerau Ely	1:0 ✺
Welsh FA Cup
16.02.25	Caerau Ely - Gap Connahs Quay	0:2 ✺
Welsh Cymru South
07.02.25	Caerau Ely - Llantwit Major	2:4 ✺
04.02.25	Caerau Ely - Pontypridd United	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Welsh Cymru South
11.10.24	Caerau Ely - Llanelli	1:2
03.11.23	Llanelli - Caerau Ely	4:0
27.10.23	Caerau Ely - Llanelli	1:2

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