Match Info

Primera A - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Estadio Bello Horizonte (Villavicencio)

Referee: Ortiz A. (Col)

Where to Watch on TV:


Belarus	Sport TV
Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, FOX Deportes, FOX Deportes, Fubo Latino 2, Fubo Latino


	Llaneros SA		Atlético Nacional

	1	X	2
	4	3.6	1.85	Watch
	4.40	3.50	1.70
	4.25	3.4	1.82	Watch
	4.43	3.55	1.86
	4.2	3.58	1.83
	4.25	3.45	1.82
	4.16	3.45	1.82	Watch
	3.9	3.5	1.86
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.2 ↓ (4.35)	3.5 ↑ (3.45)	1.82 ↓ (1.84)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llaneros SA
22.2%

Draw
26.6%

Atlético Nacional
51.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

21.6%

27.3%

51.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.1%

26.7%

52.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llaneros SA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Atlético Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Llaneros SA than the current prediction. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Nacional than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	28.6%	57.1%

Llaneros SA - Atlético Nacional Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Llaneros SA will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%). Atlético Nacional will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
22. Romana Garavito R. (G) 26. Quintero D. 2. Mena Posada H. H. 21. Meza F. (C) 94. Medranda J. 13. Castilla J. 95. Jhon Vasquez 7. Miranda L. 10. Ospina N. 32. Castaneda F. 17. Mena Y.	25. Marquinez L. (G) 6. Roman A. 3. Parra N. 4. Haydar C. 20. Casco M. 80. Zapata J. 31. Rios X. 29. Sarmiento A. 19. Rengifo J. 7. Moreno M. (C) 17. Arango C.
Substitutes
70. Contreras J. 9. Cortes C. 33. Kelvin Osorio 12. Loaiza J. (G) 19. Mantilla D. 23. Moralez A. 8. Ramirez J. 14. Rincon K. 36. Sanchez A.	22. Cabrera E. 21. Campuzano J. 30. Parra Atehortua K. 27. Perlaza Perea Y. A. 99. Poveda I. 15. Reyes A. 23. Rodriguez J. 24. Rosa J. 44. Zea E. (G)
Coaches
Garcia J.	Gonzalez L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
15', 1 - 0, Mena Y. ⚽, Jhon Vasquez (A),
24', Mena Posada H. H. 🟨,
32', Jhon Vasquez 🟨,
34', 2 - 0, Castaneda F. ⚽, Quintero D. (A),
38', Castilla J. 🟨,
45+2', Ospina N. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Rengifo J. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
46', Ospina N. ↓, Kelvin Osorio ↑,
46', Jhon Vasquez ↓, Contreras J. ↑,
46', Rios X. ↓, Cabrera E. ↑,
46', Zapata J. ↓, Campuzano J. ↑,
58', Arango C. ↓, Poveda I. ↑,
59', Mena Y. ↓, Cortes C. ↑,
71', Castaneda F. 🟨,
72', Casco M. ↓, Perlaza Perea Y. A. ↑,
75', Castaneda F. ↓, Mantilla D. ↑,
83', Miranda L. ↓, Ramirez J. ↑,
85', Perlaza Perea Y. A. 🟨,
90+3', Campuzano J. 🟨,

Preview

An intriguing matchup between a mid-ranked team and a top contender (ranked 11th and 3rd in the Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )).

Llaneros SA is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

Atlético Nacional is on a roll with consecutive victories (last 5 matches: 5 wins).

Atlético Nacional may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

In this matchup, Atlético Nacional is considered the favorite to take the win.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Llaneros SA has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:7 (averaging 0.3:2.3 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Llaneros SA against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 0:3 goals.

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	Atl. Nacional	11	7	2	2	21:10	11	23
12	Llaneros	13	4	2	7	15:17	-2	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Llaneros Fútbol Club SA
Colombian Primera A
12.09.26	Inter Bogotá - Llaneros SA	3:2 ✺
07.09.26	Llaneros SA - Deportes Tolima	1:2 ✺
Colombian Copa
02.09.26	Deportes Quindío - Llaneros SA	1:2 penalties ✺
Colombian Primera A
30.08.26	Independiente Medellín - Llaneros SA	2:1 ✺
27.08.26	Llaneros SA - Millonarios	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 LLWLL
- Atlético Nacional Medellin
Colombian Primera A
16.09.26	Inter Bogotá - Atlético Nacional	2:3 ✺
13.09.26	Atlético Nacional - Rionegro Águilas	2:0 ✺
Colombian Copa
07.09.26	Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Cali	3:0 ✺
Colombian Primera A
29.08.26	Alianza Valledupar - Atlético Nacional	1:5 ✺
26.08.26	Atlético Nacional - Deportivo Cali	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Colombian Primera A
13.03.26	Atlético Nacional - Llaneros SA	2:0
30.10.25	Llaneros SA - Atlético Nacional	0:3
11.05.25	Atlético Nacional - Llaneros SA	2:1

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