Match Info

SPAIN: Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 16

Date: 21 December 2024, Saturday


	Llosetense		Poblense

	1	X	2
	4.8	3.5	1.6
	5.2	3.5	1.61
	5.14	3.35	1.59
	5.55	3.47	1.61	Watch
	5.48	3.48	1.59
	5.2	3.5	1.61
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.23 ↑ (3.17)	3.47 ↑ (3.2)	1.6 ↓ (2.12)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Llosetense
17.3%

Draw
26.1%

Poblense
56.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.7%

28.4%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.9%

25.6%

38.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Llosetense has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Llosetense's form might have worsened.

Poblense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Poblense's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llosetense than the current prediction. (+14.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Llosetense, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Poblense than the current prediction. (-17.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Poblense, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Llosetense - Poblense Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
35', 🟥,
39', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
47', 🟥,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Llosetense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
15.12.24	Llosetense - Manacor	0:0 ✺
06.12.24	Collerense - Llosetense	1:2 ✺
30.11.24	Llosetense - Migjorn	4:0 ✺
24.11.24	Mercadal - Llosetense	4:0 ✺
20.11.24	Llosetense - Alcúdia	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWWLL
- UD Poblense
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
14.12.24	Collerense - Poblense	1:0 ✺
07.12.24	Poblense - Mercadal	1:1 ✺
30.11.24	Penya Independent - Poblense	1:0 ✺
23.11.24	Poblense - Platges de Calvià	0:0 ✺
15.11.24	Poblense - Constancia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 0 LTLTT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11
09.02.24	Poblense - Llosetense	4:3
24.09.23	Llosetense - Poblense	0:2
16.04.23	Poblense - Llosetense	5:1
17.12.22	Llosetense - Poblense	2:0
30.03.22	Llosetense - Poblense	1:1
16.10.21	Poblense - Llosetense	0:1
29.09.19	Llosetense - Poblense	0:0

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