Match Info

Liga Premier Serie A - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 31 March 2025, Monday


	Lobos ULMX		Jaguares de Chiapas

	1	X	2
	5.2	4.1	1.5
	6.03	4.26	1.45	Watch
	6.7	4.15	1.41
	5.2	4.1	1.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.78 ↑ (4.91)	4.15 ↑ (3.82)	1.47 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lobos ULMX
15.8%

Draw
22%

Jaguares de Chiapas
62.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

18.5%

23.8%

57.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

17.6%

22.7%

60.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lobos ULMX has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Jaguares de Chiapas has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lobos ULMX than the current prediction. (+1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Jaguares de Chiapas than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Lobos ULMX - Jaguares de Chiapas Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
32', 1 - 0, Vazquez C. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', 2 - 0, Cortes R. ⚽,
69', 2 - 1, Calderon K. ⚽,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Premier Serie A (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

Lobos ULMX is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Chiapas is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

In this match Chiapas is a favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Lobos ULMX won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lobos ULMX
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
22.03.25	Lobos ULMX - La Piedad	0:6 ✺
15.03.25	Petroleros Salamanca - Lobos ULMX	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Lobos ULMX - Halcones	0:2 ✺
01.03.25	Zacatepec Siglo - Lobos ULMX	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Lobos ULMX - Aguacateros de Peribán	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 LLLWL
- Jaguares de Chiapas
Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
22.03.25	Jaguares de Chiapas - Zapotlanejo	4:1 ✺
16.03.25	Montañeses - Jaguares de Chiapas	1:0 ✺
08.03.25	Jaguares de Chiapas - Deportiva Venados	0:0 ✺
01.03.25	Jaguares de Chiapas - Deportivo Zitácuaro	5:1 ✺
22.02.25	Pioneros de Cancún - Jaguares de Chiapas	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 WLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga Premier Serie A
16.11.24	Jaguares de Chiapas - Lobos ULMX	2:1

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