Match Info

Russian Cup - Group Stage - Round 4

Date: 15 October 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Arena Khimki (Khimki) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	14:45	DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Belarus	20:45	Belarus 5
Chile	14:45	DirecTV Sports
Ecuador	12:45	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Peru	12:45	DirecTV Sports
Russia	20:45	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
South America	—	DGO Latin America
Uruguay	14:45	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Venezuela	13:45	DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 2, Inter


	Rodina Moscow		Spartak Moscow

	1	X	2
	7.03	4.9	1.44
	6.95	4.75	1.42
	7.22	4.85	1.44	Watch
	6	4.8	1.37
Avarage Now (Initially)	6.8 ↑ (6.4)	4.83 ↑ (4.4)	1.42 ↑ (1.34)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 3.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Rodina Moscow
13.9%

Draw
19.6%

Spartak Moscow
66.6%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

13.8%

20.1%

66.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

13.4%

19.6%

67.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

Spartak Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Spartak Moscow than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Rodina Moscow - Spartak Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Aydarov S. (G) 80. Bessmertniy S. 50. Rodrigo Becao 55. Krizan M. 3. Goglichidze L. 5. Egorychev A. 6. Fishchenko R. (C) 8. Pozo I. 18. Abdusalamov M. 7. Onugkha G. 17. Bakaev S.	1. Pomazun I. (G) 97. Denisov D. 3. Wooh C. 33. Parada V. 27. Dmitriev I. 68. Litvinov R. 18. Umyarov N. 83. Fernandes G. 5. Barco E. 10. Marquinhos 19. Daku M.
Substitutes
95. Cissoko K. 77. Gharibyan A. 72. Gordyushenko A. 20. Machado D. 26. Meshchaninov A. 38. Musaev L. 10. Reyna Y. 15. Shadrintsev D. 88. Sokol A. 19. Tananeev D. 23. Ushatov K. 13. Volkov S. (G)	6. Babic S. 4. Djiku A. 56. Dovbnya A. (G) 98. Maksimenko A. (G) 24. Massalyga N. 62. Polekh P. 17. Saus V. 7. Solari P. 40. Sorokin I. 9. Ugalde M. 47. Zobnin R.
Coaches
Alba J.	Carcedo J. C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
23', Fishchenko R. 🟨,
25', Barco E. (Penalty Awarded),
25', 0 - 1, Marquinhos ⚽,
40', 1 - 1, Abdusalamov M. ⚽, Bakaev S. (A),
41', 2 - 1, Onugkha G. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Bakaev S. ↓, Tananeev D. ↑,
46', Rodrigo Becao ↓, Gordyushenko A. ↑,
48', 2 - 2, Daku M. ⚽, Denisov D. (A),
57', Umyarov N. 🟨,
62', Fernandes G. 🟨,
62', Onugkha G. ↓, Gharibyan A. ↑,
64', 2 - 3, Daku M. ⚽, Barco E. (A),
67', Umyarov N. ↓, Zobnin R. ↑,
67', Barco E. ↓, Solari P. ↑,
67', Parada V. ↓, Babic S. ↑,
73', Dmitriev I. 🟨,
79', Daku M. ↓, Ugalde M. ↑,
84', Denisov D. ↓, Saus V. ↑,
90+2', Ugalde M. 🟨,
90+3', Gordyushenko A. 🟨,
90+8', 2 - 4, Ugalde M. ⚽,

Preview

Rodina has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Spartak M shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Spartak M could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Recently, Rodina has faced a series of away games on the road.

The betting markets point to Spartak M as the clear and undisputed favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Rodina has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:11 (averaging 0.7:3.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Rodina against this opponent, the record stands at 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 1:5 goals.

Outrights of Russian Cup for now

Spartak Moscow: 15.48% Rodina Moscow: 0.85%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Rodina Moscow
Russian Premier League
11.10.26	CSKA Moscow - Rodina Moscow	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
04.10.26	Dynamo Moscow - Rodina Moscow	3:2 ✺
Russian Premier League
16.09.26	Rodina Moscow - Rubin Kazan	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Krylya Sovetov - Rodina Moscow	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Dynamo Makhachkala - Rodina Moscow	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLTLL
- FC Spartak Moscow
Russian Premier League
10.10.26	Krylya Sovetov - Spartak Moscow	1:1 ✺
16.09.26	Spartak Moscow - Fakel	1:0 ✺
13.09.26	Spartak Moscow - Rostov	3:0 ✺
06.09.26	Dynamo Moscow - Spartak Moscow	2:1 ✺
Russian Cup
02.09.26	Spartak Moscow - Rodina Moscow	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4 TWWLW

Latest Head to Head

Russian Cup
02.09.26	Spartak Moscow - Rodina Moscow	3:1
Russian Premier League
25.07.26	Spartak Moscow - Rodina Moscow	3:0
Russian Cup
16.09.20	Rodina Moscow - Spartak Moscow	1:5

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