Match Info

Premier League - Round 10

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: VEB Arena (Moscow) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Chistyakov A. (Rus)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	Q Football Asia, Q Sport Asia
Brazil	10:30	Xsports
North Macedonia	15:30	MaxTV GO
Russia	16:30	Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Serbia	15:30	Arena Sport 5


	CSKA Moscow		Rodina Moscow

	1	X	2
	1.53	4.57	6.11
	1.51	4.5	6
	1.51	4.63	6.14	Watch
	1.48	4.3	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↑ (1.41)	4.5 ↓ (5.16)	5.86 ↓ (6.49)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

CSKA Moscow
62.8%

Draw
21%

Rodina Moscow
16.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

67.1%

18.3%

14.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

17.3%

13.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

CSKA Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Rodina Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for CSKA Moscow than the current prediction. (+8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CSKA Moscow, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rodina Moscow than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

CSKA Moscow - Rodina Moscow Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
49. Torop V. (G) 21. Azzi M. 4. Joao Victor 90. Lukin M. 23. Abdulkadyrov D. 3. Krugovoy D. 31. Kislyak M. 10. Oblyakov I. (C) 19. Oleynikov I. 7. Matheus Alves 32. Gondou L.	13. Volkov S. (G) 2. Igor Silva 26. Meshchaninov A. (C) 6. Fishchenko R. 75. Nade M. 20. Machado D. 9. Maksimenko A. 10. Reyna Y. 11. Mansilla B. 17. Bakaev S. 99. Timoshenko I.
Substitutes
99. Barovskiy N. (G) 39. Borisko M. (G) 79. Danilov K. 61. Filyushin P. 62. Firov I. 17. Glebov K. 37. Henrique Carmo 18. Kozlov D. 11. Musaev T. 20. Popovic M. 84. Vakulich A. 97. Voronov M.	18. Abdusalamov M. 1. Aydarov S. (G) 80. Bessmertniy S. 95. Cissoko K. 3. Goglichidze L. 55. Krizan M. 38. Musaev L. 7. Onugkha G. 50. Rodrigo Becao 88. Sokol A. 19. Tananeev D. 23. Ushatov K.
Coaches
Igdisamov D.	Alba J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
24', 1 - 0, Krugovoy D. ⚽, Oblyakov I. (A),
35', 2 - 0, Oblyakov I. ⚽, Oleynikov I. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Fishchenko R. ↓, Ushatov K. ↑,
46', Mansilla B. ↓, Musaev L. ↑,
61', Timoshenko I. ↓, Onugkha G. ↑,
63', Matheus Alves ↓, Glebov K. ↑,
68', Gondou L. ↓, Musaev T. ↑,
71', Bakaev S. ↓, Abdusalamov M. ↑,
76', Igor Silva 🟨,
76', Popovic M. 🟨,
79', Machado D. 🟨,
80', Maksimenko A. ↓, Cissoko K. ↑,
80', 3 - 0, Oblyakov I. ⚽, Krugovoy D. (A),
82', Oleynikov I. ↓, Kozlov D. ↑,

Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 5th and 15th in the Relegation - FNL).

CSKA has displayed good consistency in recent games (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Rodina has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Recently, Rodina has had a run of games away from home.

CSKA holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

Confirmed absences for CSKA: Barinov D. (Knee Injury) Gajic M. (Knee Injury) Moises (Knee Injury).

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, CSKA has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:0.

Specifically in home fixtures for CSKA against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 4:0 goals.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	CSKA Moscow	12	7	4	1	21:12	9	25
15	Rodina Moscow	12	2	3	7	13:27	-14	9

Outrights of Russian Premier League for now

CSKA Moscow: 5.9% Rodina Moscow: 0.84%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CSKA Moscow
Club Friendly
04.10.26	CSKA Moscow - Arsenal Tula	3:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
17.09.26	Dynamo Makhachkala - CSKA Moscow	1:3 ✺
12.09.26	CSKA Moscow - Rubin Kazan	1:1 ✺
05.09.26	Zenit - CSKA Moscow	1:2 ✺
Russian Cup
01.09.26	Rostov - CSKA Moscow	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.6 WWTWL
- Rodina Moscow
Club Friendly
04.10.26	Dynamo Moscow - Rodina Moscow	3:2 ✺
Russian Premier League
16.09.26	Rodina Moscow - Rubin Kazan	1:1 ✺
11.09.26	Krylya Sovetov - Rodina Moscow	2:1 ✺
06.09.26	Dynamo Makhachkala - Rodina Moscow	2:0 ✺
Russian Cup
02.09.26	Spartak Moscow - Rodina Moscow	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
16.02.24	CSKA Moscow - Rodina Moscow	4:0

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