Match Info

Date: 11 July 2021, Sunday


	Lokomotiv Moscow		Celje

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.57	4.4	4.1
	1.52	4.5	4.35	Watch
	1.6	3.9	4
	1.63	4.13	4.19
	1.55	3.8	4.75
	1.63	4.25	4.8	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.59)	4.16 ↑ (4.1)	4.37 ↓ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Moscow
57.4%

Draw
21.8%

Celje
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.6%

22.7%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.6%

13.8%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

Celje has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (-21.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lokomotiv Moscow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Celje than the current prediction. (+9.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Celje could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lokomotiv Moscow - Celje Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Lokomotiv is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Celje is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Celje could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lokomotiv is a favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Moscow
Club Friendly
09.07.21	Hartberg - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:1 ✺
07.07.21	Lokomotiv Moscow - Aris	1:2 ✺
03.07.21	Rapid Wien - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:0 ✺
26.06.21	Lokomotiv Moscow - Olimpija Ljubljana	6:1 ✺
23.06.21	Lokomotiv Moscow - Žilina	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLTWW
- NK Celje
Club Friendly
07.07.21	Celje - Hajduk Split	3:0 ✺
26.06.21	Gorica - Celje	1:0 ✺
Slovenian Cup
25.05.21	Celje - Olimpija Ljubljana	1:2 ✺
Slovenian PrvaLiga
22.05.21	Celje - Koper	2:1 ✺
19.05.21	Gorica - Celje	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 WLLWW

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