Match Info

Date: 7 July 2021, Wednesday


	Lokomotiv Moscow		Aris

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.1	3.3	3
	2.1	3.4	2.95	Watch
	1.94	3.45	3.1
	2	3.57	3.31
	2.1	3.1	3.1
	2.09	3.56	3.34	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (7)	3.4 ↓ (5.1)	3.13 ↑ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Moscow
44.2%

Draw
26.8%

Aris
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

13.5%

18.5%

68%

Our Initial ML Estimation

11.7%

16.1%

78.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+30.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lokomotiv Moscow's performance.

Aris has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-39%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Aris might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (-32.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lokomotiv Moscow that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Aris than the current prediction. (+49.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Aris could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Lokomotiv Moscow - Aris Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Lokomotiv in the last match got series victories and it is in a very good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Aris is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Aris could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Lokomotiv have a series of home games.

Lokomotiv will have a mini benefit in this match.

Lokomotiv will have a small advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Moscow
Club Friendly
03.07.21	Rapid Wien - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:0 ✺
26.06.21	Lokomotiv Moscow - Olimpija Ljubljana	6:1 ✺
23.06.21	Lokomotiv Moscow - Žilina	3:2 ✺
Russian Premier League
16.05.21	Lokomotiv Moscow - Ural	1:0 ✺
Russian Cup
12.05.21	Lokomotiv Moscow - Krylya Sovetov	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6 TWWWW
- Aris Thessaloniki
Club Friendly
04.07.21	Aris - Hajduk Split	1:3 ✺
01.07.21	Crvena Zvezda Belgrade - Aris	2:1 ✺
Greek Super League
16.05.21	AEK Athens - Aris	0:0 ✺
12.05.21	Aris - Panathinaikos	0:0 ✺
09.05.21	PAOK - Aris	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 LLTTL

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