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Current Win Probability
Lokomotiv Moscow 31.4%
Draw 28.1%
Galatasaray 40.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.2%
28.9%
32.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
26.5%
20.1%
47.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lokomotiv Moscow's form might have worsened.
Galatasaray has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Galatasaray's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (-4.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Galatasaray than the current prediction. (+7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Galatasaray could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
19.7%
22.4%
57.9%
Lokomotiv Moscow - Galatasaray Predictions
Users Predictions:
76 users predict this event. Lokomotiv will win (votes: 15 - 19.7%). Galatasaray will win (votes: 44 - 57.9%). It will Tie (votes: 17 - 22.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for Galatasaray: 46.8% – 69%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Preview
Lokomotiv has currently - 1, has a very small chance of 1st (5%), has a small chance of 2nd (12%), has a chance of 3rd (23%), has a small chance of round of 16 (7%), has a very small chance of qtrs (2%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Galatasaray has currently - 4, has a chance of 1st (27%), has a chance of 2nd (33%), has a chance of 3rd (24%), has a chance of round of 16 (35%), has a small chance of qtrs (9%), has a very small chance of semis (2%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
Lokomotiv is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
Galatasaray is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently Lokomotiv have a series of guest games.
In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
Last 2 head-to-head matches Lokomotiv won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.
Including matches at home between the teams Lokomotiv won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.
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