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Current Win Probability
Rubin Kazan 27.4%
Draw 29.2%
Lokomotiv Moscow 43.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.6%
28.5%
39.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.8%
27.8%
40.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Rubin Kazan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)
Lokomotiv Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Rubin Kazan than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
0%
0%
100%
Rubin Kazan - Lokomotiv Moscow Predictions
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Lokomotiv will win (votes: 4 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
38. Staver E. (G) 3. Maldonado D. 5. Vujacic I. (C) 2. Teslenko E. 12. Arroyo A. 8. Jocic B. 14. Kuzyaev D. 51. Rozhkov I. 23. Bezrukov R. 11. Gripshi N. 22. Hodza V.
1. Mitryushkin A. (C) 24. Nenakhov M. 5. Nyamsi G. 85. Morozov E. 3. Lucas Fasson 25. Prutsev D. 93. Karpukas A. 7. Bakaev Z. 83. Batrakov A. 19. Rudenko A. 10. Vorobyev D.
Substitutes
18. Apshatsev M. 27. Gritsaenko A. 19. Ivanov O. 70. Kabutov D. 1. Kenyaykin A. (G) 44. Kuznetsov D. 98. Lobov N. 59. Motorin D. N. 87. Mukba E. 25. Nigmatullin A. (G) 4. Nizhegorodov K. 21. Zotov A.
74. Chevardin D. 90. Godyaev D. 27. Komlichenko N. 22. Lantratov I. (G) 99. Myalkovskiy R. 59. Pogostnov E. 2. Ramirez C. 14. Saltykov N. 8. Sarveli V. 45. Silyanov A. 94. Timofeev A. 32. Vera L.
Coaches
Artiga F.
Galaktionov M.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
22', Nenakhov M. 🟨,
23', 1 - 0, Vujacic I. ⚽,
36', Artiga F. 🟨,
44', Nenakhov M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Bakaev Z. ↓, Silyanov A. ↑,
55', 2 - 0, Mitryushkin A. (Own goal),
61', Vorobyev D. 🟨,
62', Teslenko E. ↓, Gritsaenko A. ↑,
62', Jocic B. ↓, Kuznetsov D. ↑,
70', 3 - 0, Kuznetsov D. ⚽, Bezrukov R. (A),
72', Vorobyev D. ↓, Vera L. ↑,
72', Rudenko A. ↓, Myalkovskiy R. ↑,
72', Lucas Fasson ↓, Ramirez C. ↑,
75', Rozhkov I. ↓, Nizhegorodov K. ↑,
75', Gripshi N. ↓, Zotov A. ↑,
78', Nyamsi G. 🟨,
80', Batrakov A. 🟨,
84', Hodza V. ↓, Ivanov O. ↑,
90+1', Myalkovskiy R. 🟨,
Preview
Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 3).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 2.
Rubin is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Lokomotiv's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Rubin may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Lokomotiv could have a small edge in this match.
There will not play in Rubin: Iwu U.
(Muscle Injury)
Saavedra I.
(Yellow Cards)
Shvets A.
(Knee Injury)
Siwe J.
(Yellow Cards)
There are questionable in Lokomotiv: Pinyaev S.
(Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Rubin won 2 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 12 matches, and goals 13:31. (average 0.7:1.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Rubin won 1 match, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 5:10. (average 0.6:1.1).
Outrights of Russian Premier League for now
Lokomotiv Moscow: 0.84% Rubin Kazan: 0.84%
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Rubin Kazan
9
2
6
1
12:11
1
12
12
Lokomotiv Moscow
10
2
4
4
13:11
2
10
Last Results with these Odds
Rubin Kazan - the odds 2.92 are the expected chance of winning is 31.56%, but this team recently wins 44% of matches with these odds.