Match Info

Date: 30 September 2021, Thursday


	Lazio		Lokomotiv Moscow

	1	X	2
	1.33	5.25	9
	1.33	5.75	8.25
	1.35	5.35	9
	1.32	5.2	8.2
	1.35	5.52	9.05
	1.32	5.25	9
	1.36	5.95	10
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.34 ↓ (1.47)	5.47 ↑ (4.48)	8.93 ↑ (6.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 0.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lazio
71.7%

Draw
17.5%

Lokomotiv Moscow
10.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.4%

21.2%

14.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.7%

12.4%

24.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lazio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lazio's performance.

Lokomotiv Moscow has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lazio than the current prediction. (-34%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lazio that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotiv Moscow than the current prediction. (+13.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lokomotiv Moscow could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
79.2%	9.9%	10.9%

Lazio - Lokomotiv Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: Lazio will win (80 of 101 users predict this - 79.21%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.3% – 87.12%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Preview

Lazio has currently - 0, has a chance of 1st (30%), has a chance of 2nd (28%), has a chance of 3rd (24%), has a chance of round of 16 (43%), has a chance of qtrs (20%), has a small chance of semis (9%), has a very small chance of final (4%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Lokomotiv has currently - 1, has a small chance of 1st (10%), has a chance of 2nd (18%), has a chance of 3rd (27%), has a small chance of round of 16 (14%), has a very small chance of qtrs (4%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Recent matches Lazio is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lokomotiv is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Lokomotiv could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Lazio is indisputable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SS Lazio
Italian Serie A
26.09.21	Lazio - Roma	3:2 ✺
23.09.21	Torino - Lazio	1:1 ✺
19.09.21	Lazio - Cagliari	2:2 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.21	Galatasaray - Lazio	1:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
12.09.21	Milan - Lazio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.2 WTTLL
- Lokomotiv Moscow
Russian Premier League
25.09.21	Khimki - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:0 ✺
20.09.21	Ural - Lokomotiv Moscow	0:0 ✺
UEFA Europa League
16.09.21	Lokomotiv Moscow - Olympique Marseille	1:1 ✺
Russian Premier League
11.09.21	Lokomotiv Moscow - Krylya Sovetov	2:0 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.21	CSKA Moscow - Lokomotiv Moscow	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 TTTWW

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