The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Lokomotiv Plovdiv 33.4%
Draw 29.4%
Arda Kardzhali 37.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
28.7%
26.7%
44.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
28.4%
26.4%
45%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lokomotiv Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)
Arda Kardzhali has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arda Kardzhali might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-5%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arda Kardzhali than the current prediction. (+7.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Arda Kardzhali could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Arda Kardzhali Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
22. Georgiev Y. (G)
16. Bachev P.
20. Derick
11. Kabov A.
99. Karagaren B.
9. Nikolov G.
24. Paskalev M.
6. Popov V.
18. Vasilev S.
21. Velev V.
39. Vutov A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
29', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
64', 2 - 0, ⚽,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 2.
Recent results have been tough for Lokomotiv Plovdiv (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Arda has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Lokomotiv Plovdiv has recorded 8 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:29 (averaging 1.2:1.5 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Lokomotiv Plovdiv against this opponent, the record stands at 6 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with 9:4 goals (averaging 0.8:0.4 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Arda Kardzhali - the odds 2.09 are the expected chance of winning is 44.53%, but this team recently wins 71% of matches with these odds.