Match Info

BULGARIA: Parva liga - Round 12

Date: 13 September 2024, Friday

Location: Stadion Lokomotiv (Plovdiv)

Referee: Grebencharski M. (Bul)

Where to Watch on TV:


Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 4
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO


	Lokomotiv Plovdiv		Hebar Pazardzhik

	1	X	2
	1.45	4	7.5	Watch
	1.41	4.2	6.75
	1.4	4.33	7.5	Watch
	1.44	4.42	7.69
	1.42	4.38	7.51	Watch
	1.33	4.2	8
	1.38	4.55	8.3	Watch
	1.4	4.33	7.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.4 ↓ (1.48)	4.3 ↑ (4.1)	7.59 ↑ (7.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Plovdiv
66.2%

Draw
21.6%

Hebar Pazardzhik
12.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64%

23.1%

12.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.5%

22.9%

12.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Plovdiv has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

Hebar Pazardzhik has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Plovdiv than the current prediction. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hebar Pazardzhik than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	20%	0%

Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Hebar Pazardzhik Predictions

Users Predictions: Lokomotiv Plovdiv will win (8 of 10 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 55.21% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
81. Tomov K. (G) 71. Kamdem O. 91. Segura J. 4. Paskalev M. 44. Lyaskov A. 22. Ivanov I. 99. Lamy J. 6. Ivanov H. 33. Karakashev G. 21. Medved V. 14. Iliev D. (C)	1. Debarliev P. (C) 18. Terziev R. 55. Mihaylov M. 88. Gamakov M. 98. Tartov G. 21. Penchev B. 19. Staykov G. 11. Vukovic D. 44. Nikolaev N. 77. Hamdiev O. 70. Makni N.
Substitutes
12. Ali E. 1. Ambartsumyan D. 19. Haydarov M. 75. N'Zi J. 5. Pavlov T. 17. Penev N. 16. Peshov K. 10. Petkov M. 7. Polonskyi D.	8. Andonov K. 14. Angelov Y. 29. Diamanka C. 24. El Fattahi E. 9. Krastev K. 23. Pehlivanov K. 97. Rosa M. (G) 84. Tisovski S. 7. Zbun O.
Coaches
Penev L.	Velikov V.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
1', Ivanov I. 🟨,
3', 0 - 1, Vukovic D. ⚽,
15', 1 - 1, Lamy J. ⚽, Lyaskov A. (A),
33', 2 - 1, Iliev D. ⚽, Lyaskov A. (A),
41', Vukovic D. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Gamakov M. ↓, Pehlivanov K. ↑,
54', 3 - 1, Lamy J. ⚽, Iliev D. (A),
58', Terziev R. ↓, Diamanka C. ↑,
59', Vukovic D. ↓, Angelov Y. ↑,
63', Ivanov I. ↓, N'Zi J. ↑,
69', Penchev B. ↓, Andonov K. ↑,
79', Iliev D. ↓, Petkov M. ↑,
79', Ivanov H. ↓, Ali E. ↑,
79', Lamy J. ↓, Peshov K. ↑,
79', Medved V. ↓, Penev N. ↑,
81', Staykov G. ↓, Krastev K. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 2, Krastev K. ⚽, Makni N. (A),
90+6', 3 - 3, Makni N. ⚽, Tartov G. (A),

Preview

This match will be played by one of a leader and an outsider (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Parva liga (Conference League Group: ) and 14 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 3.

Recent matches Lokomotiv Plovdiv is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Hebar is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Lokomotiv Plovdiv is certain favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10-8.

Including matches at home between the teams Lokomotiv Plovdiv won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 4-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Plovdiv
Bulgarian Parva Liga
01.09.24	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:1 ✺
26.08.24	Septemvri Sofia - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	2:3 ✺
19.08.24	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Cherno More Varna	1:2 ✺
10.08.24	Beroe Stara Zagora - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	0:2 ✺
02.08.24	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Levski Sofia	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 TWLWL
- Hebar Pazardzhik
Bulgarian Parva Liga
01.09.24	Hebar Pazardzhik - Beroe Stara Zagora	3:1 ✺
23.08.24	Levski Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:0 ✺
18.08.24	Hebar Pazardzhik - Botev Plovdiv	0:1 ✺
09.08.24	Arda Kardzhali - Hebar Pazardzhik	2:1 ✺
02.08.24	Hebar Pazardzhik - Slavia Sofia	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Parva Liga
24.02.24	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:2
25.08.23	Hebar Pazardzhik - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	3:4
Club Friendly
14.01.23	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Hebar Pazardzhik	0:1
Bulgarian Parva Liga
13.11.22	Hebar Pazardzhik - Lokomotiv Plovdiv	1:2
24.07.22	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Hebar Pazardzhik	2:1
Club Friendly
12.10.19	Lokomotiv Plovdiv - Hebar Pazardzhik	1:0

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