Match Info

BULGARIA: PARVA LIGA - ROUND 8

Date: 2 September 2023, Saturday

Location: Stadion Lokomotiv (Sofia)

Referee: Kolev K. (Bul)


	Lokomotiv Sofia		Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo

	1	X	2
	2	3.4	3.8	Watch
	1.9	3.4	3.6
	2.05	3.4	3.78
	1.85	3.1	4
	2.03	3.4	3.7	Watch
	2.02	3.4	3.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.95)	3.35 ↓ (3.42)	3.74 ↑ (3.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotiv Sofia
47.2%

Draw
27.8%

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
24.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.7%

27.2%

25.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

24.8%

27.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotiv Sofia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lokomotiv Sofia than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	14.3%	0%

Lokomotiv Sofia - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo Predictions

Users Predictions: Lokomotiv Sofia will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
24. Lyubenov A. (C) 33. Alan Dias 4. Dimov D. 12. Bruno Franco 20. Teixeira D. 16. Mechev S. 31. Stanoev K. 7. Silva F. 93. Lambese S. 9. Krastev K. 11. Carlos Franca	22. Velichkov M. (G) 2. Hristov V. 6. Dimov P. 15. Angelov G. 25. Stoyanov K. (C) 8. Moran M. 28. Yankov N. 29. Angelov Y. 7. Stanev K. 38. Naydenov V. 9. Toshev M.
Substitutes
1. Gaye B. (G) 15. Ivanov L. 5. Kamy D. 26. Miloshev K. 13. Minkov G. 45. Mitkov D. 22. Naydenov I. 10. Nikolov V. 98. Traore S.	4. Aleksandrov G. 19. Betegon J. 24. Boukholda C. 14. Dimitrov I. 12. Hristov D. (G) 26. Ivanov M. 77. Nikolov M.
Coaches
Stoev S.	Lukanov E.

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 12 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group: ) and 15 in the zone Parva liga (Relegation Group: )).

Lokomotiv Sofia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Etar has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Etar could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lokomotiv Sofia will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Lokomotiv Sofia won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Lokomotiv Sofia won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotiv Sofia
Bulgarian Parva Liga
26.08.23	Krumovgrad - Lokomotiv Sofia	2:0 ✺
18.08.23	Lokomotiv Sofia - Hebar Pazardzhik	0:1 ✺
11.08.23	Arda Kardzhali - Lokomotiv Sofia	1:0 ✺
05.08.23	Lokomotiv Sofia - Pirin Blagoevgrad	2:0 ✺
30.07.23	Levski Sofia - Lokomotiv Sofia	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.9 LLLWL
- Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo
Bulgarian Parva Liga
27.08.23	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Botev Plovdiv	1:2 ✺
21.08.23	CSKA 1948 Sofia - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	1:0 ✺
14.08.23	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Beroe Stara Zagora	2:2 ✺
04.08.23	Cherno More Varna - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	2:1 ✺
Club Friendly
28.07.23	Arda Kardzhali - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Bulgarian Vtora Liga
01.04.17	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Lokomotiv Sofia	3:1
26.09.16	Lokomotiv Sofia - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	0:0
Bulgarian Parva Liga
06.04.13	Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo - Lokomotiv Sofia	2:2
16.09.12	Lokomotiv Sofia - Etar 1924 Veliko Tarnovo	3:0

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