Match Info

Europa League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday

Location: Cegeka Arena (Genk)

Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Genk		Dinamo Zagreb

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.4	2.7
	2.1	3.4	3.4
	2.6	3.4	2.8
	2.65	3.4	2.77
	2.54	3.41	2.77
	2.5	3.2	2.7
	2.53	3.46	2.9
	2.08	3.66	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.09)	3.42 ↓ (3.84)	2.91 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genk
39.1%

Draw
28%

Dinamo Zagreb
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

45.9%

25%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

24.2%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Genk's form might have worsened.

Dinamo Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Genk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (-4.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74%	16%	10%

Genk - Dinamo Zagreb Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Genk will win (votes: 37 - 74%). Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 5 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 61.8% – 86.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Dinamo Zagreb (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Genk (1.40) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Dinamo Zagreb (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Genk will win (10 of 13 users predict this - 76.92%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Genk (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Dinamo Zagreb (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Lawal T. (G) 77. El Ouahdi Z. 3. Sadick M. 6. Smets M. 18. Kayembe J. 10. Ito J. 8. Heynen B. (C) 21. Bangoura I. 38. Heymans D. 14. Sor Y. 29. Mirisola R.	40. Livakovic D. (G) 25. Valincic M. 15. Galesic N. 26. McKenna S. 3. Goda B. 7. Stojkovic L. 27. Misic J. (C) 8. Zajc M. 30. Topic F. 10. Vidovic G. 71. Bakrar M.
Substitutes
32. Adedeji-Sternberg N. 23. Bibout A. 28. Brughmans L. (G) 99. Erabi J. 19. Medina Y. 27. Nkuba K. 34. Palacios A. 24. Sattlberger N. 7. Steuckers J. 1. Van Crombrugge H. (G) 30. Yokoyama A.	44. Filipovic I. (G) 21. Lisica M. 35. Mikic N. 33. Nevistic I. (G) 22. Perez Vinlof M. 14. Soldo M. 41. Sunta S. 23. Varela C. 42. Zebic M.
Coaches
Hayen N.	Kovacevic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Kayembe J. 🟨,
26', Hayen N. 🟨,
31', Galesic N. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Bakrar M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 1 - 1, Sor Y. ⚽, Heynen B. (A),
53', Heymans D. 🟨,
57', 1 - 2, Stojkovic L. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Mirisola R. ↓, Bibout A. ↑,
62', Kayembe J. ↓, Medina Y. ↑,
66', Goda B. ↓, Perez Vinlof M. ↑,
74', Vidovic G. ↓, Varela C. ↑,
74', Topic F. ↓, Lisica M. ↑,
75', 1 - 3, Stojkovic L. ⚽, Valincic M. (A),
81', Bangoura I. ↓, Sattlberger N. ↑,
Extra Time (2 - 0)
101', 2 - 3, Perez Vinlof M. (Own goal),
102', Ito J. ↓, Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↑,
102', Sor Y. ↓, Steuckers J. ↑,
103', Stojkovic L. 🟥,
104', Zajc M. 🟨,
105+1', Zajc M. ↓, Soldo M. ↑,
107', Misic J. 🟨,
114', 3 - 3, Heymans D. ⚽, Steuckers J. (A),
117', Galesic N. ↓, Zebic M. ↑,
117', Misic J. ↓, Sunta S. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 3-1. Second leg.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Genk might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Genk: Karetsas K. (Concussion) Kongolo J. (Knock)

There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Beljo D. (Yellow Cards) Bennacer I. (Injury) Tabinas P. (Inactive) Torrente R. (Knee Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Genk won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Genk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Genk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
22.02.26	Genk - Standard Liège	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Genk	1:3 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
13.02.26	KV Mechelen - Genk	2:3 ✺
08.02.26	Genk - Anderlecht	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Dender EH - Genk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWWW
- Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL
22.02.26	Varaždin - Dinamo Zagreb	0:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Genk	1:3 ✺
Croatian HNL
14.02.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Istra 1961	4:0 ✺
08.02.26	Rijeka - Dinamo Zagreb	0:0 ✺
02.02.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Vukovar 91	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Genk	1:3
25.11.21	Dinamo Zagreb - Genk	1:1
30.09.21	Genk - Dinamo Zagreb	0:3

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