Match Info

Europa League - Play Offs - 1/16-finals

Date: 26 February 2026, Thursday 🏁 Finished

Location: Cegeka Arena (Genk) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Zwayer F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	17:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	00:00	Fast Sports
Asia	—	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 2, beIN Sports MENA 3, TOD
Australia	07:00	Stan Sport
Austria	21:00	Sky Go Austria, Sky Sport Austria 1, Sky Sport Austria 5
Belgium	21:00	Play Sports 1, Play Sports 4, RTBF Auvio Direct, RTBF Tipik
Bolivia	16:00	ESPN 3
Bosnia And Herzegovina	21:00	Arena Sport 1
Canada	15:00	DAZN Canada
Chile	17:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
China	04:00	ZhiBo8
Colombia	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Croatia	21:00	Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go
Denmark	21:00	Disney+
Ecuador	15:00	ESPN 3
Finland	22:00	Viaplay
France	21:00	Canal+ Live 8, CANAL+ Sport
Germany	21:00	RTL+
Greece	22:00	ANT 1+, COSMOTE Sport 9
Hong Kong	04:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Iceland	20:00	Viaplay
Indonesia	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Italy	21:00	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 256
Japan	05:00	Wowow Live
Laos	03:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Malta	21:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 2
Mongolia	04:00	Premier Sports 4
Netherlands	21:00	Ziggo Sport 3
New Zealand	09:00	DAZN New Zealand, TVWan
Norway	21:00	Viaplay
Pakistan	01:00	Tapmad
Paraguay	17:00	ESPN 3
Peru	15:00	Disney+, ESPN 3
Philippines	04:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Poland	21:00	Polsat Sport Extra 4
Portugal	20:00	DAZN 1, DAZN / App
Russia	23:00	Okko Sport
Serbia	21:00	Arena Sport 7
Singapore	04:00	beIN SPORTS MAX
Slovenia	21:00	SportKlub 1
South America	—	ViX Latin America
Spain	21:00	M+ Liga de Campeones 5
Sweden	21:00	Disney+
Thailand	03:00	beIN Connect, beIN SPORTS MAX
Turkey	23:00	Tabii Spor 2, Tabii
Ukraine	22:00	MEGOGO Futbol 11
United Kingdom	20:00	Discovery+ App, Discovery+, Disney+, TNT Sports 6, TNT Sports Extra
Uruguay	17:00	Disney+
Usa	15:00	Paramount+
Venezuela	16:00	Disney+, ESPN 3, Inter
Vietnam	03:00	ON Plus
International	20:00	VIX App


	Genk		Dinamo Zagreb

	1	X	2
	2.6	3.4	2.7
	2.1	3.4	3.4
	2.6	3.4	2.8
	2.65	3.4	2.77
	2.54	3.41	2.77
	2.5	3.2	2.7
	2.53	3.46	2.9
	2.08	3.66	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.45 ↑ (2.09)	3.42 ↓ (3.84)	2.91 ↓ (3.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Genk
39.1%

Draw
28%

Dinamo Zagreb
32.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

45.9%

25%

29.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4%

24.3%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Genk has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Genk's form might have worsened.

Dinamo Zagreb has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Genk than the current prediction. (+8.3%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Genk, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dinamo Zagreb than the current prediction. (-4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
74%	16%	10%

Genk - Dinamo Zagreb Predictions

Users Predictions: 50 users predict this event. Genk will win (votes: 37 - 74%). Dinamo Zagreb will win (votes: 5 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 16%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Genk: 61.8% – 86.2%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Dinamo Zagreb (2.01) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

DC - Genk (1.40) (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

DNB - Dinamo Zagreb (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Genk will win (10 of 13 users predict this - 76.92%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 19 Selected Experts predict this event. Genk (votes: 13 - 68.4%). Dinamo Zagreb (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
26. Lawal T. (G) 77. El Ouahdi Z. 3. Sadick M. 6. Smets M. 18. Kayembe J. 10. Ito J. 8. Heynen B. (C) 21. Bangoura I. 38. Heymans D. 14. Sor Y. 29. Mirisola R.	40. Livakovic D. (G) 25. Valincic M. 15. Galesic N. 26. McKenna S. 3. Goda B. 7. Stojkovic L. 27. Misic J. (C) 8. Zajc M. 30. Topic F. 10. Vidovic G. 71. Bakrar M.
Substitutes
32. Adedeji-Sternberg N. 23. Bibout A. 28. Brughmans L. (G) 99. Erabi J. 19. Medina Y. 27. Nkuba K. 34. Palacios A. 24. Sattlberger N. 7. Steuckers J. 1. Van Crombrugge H. (G) 30. Yokoyama A.	44. Filipovic I. (G) 21. Lisica M. 35. Mikic N. 33. Nevistic I. (G) 22. Perez Vinlof M. 14. Soldo M. 41. Sunta S. 23. Varela C. 42. Zebic M.
Coaches
Hayen N.	Kovacevic M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
16', Kayembe J. 🟨,
26', Hayen N. 🟨,
31', Galesic N. 🟨,
45+2', 0 - 1, Bakrar M. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
51', 1 - 1, Sor Y. ⚽, Heynen B. (A),
53', Heymans D. 🟨,
57', 1 - 2, Stojkovic L. (Penalty Awarded),
62', Mirisola R. ↓, Bibout A. ↑,
62', Kayembe J. ↓, Medina Y. ↑,
66', Goda B. ↓, Perez Vinlof M. ↑,
74', Vidovic G. ↓, Varela C. ↑,
74', Topic F. ↓, Lisica M. ↑,
75', 1 - 3, Stojkovic L. ⚽, Valincic M. (A),
81', Bangoura I. ↓, Sattlberger N. ↑,
Extra Time (2 - 0)
101', 2 - 3, Perez Vinlof M. (Own goal),
102', Ito J. ↓, Adedeji-Sternberg N. ↑,
102', Sor Y. ↓, Steuckers J. ↑,
103', Stojkovic L. 🟥,
104', Zajc M. 🟨,
105+1', Zajc M. ↓, Soldo M. ↑,
107', Misic J. 🟨,
114', 3 - 3, Heymans D. ⚽, Steuckers J. (A),
117', Galesic N. ↓, Zebic M. ↑,
117', Misic J. ↓, Sunta S. ↑,

Preview

First leg result: 3-1. Second leg.

Now, both teams are in good form.

Genk might have a minor edge in this game.

There will not play in Genk: Karetsas K. (Concussion) Kongolo J. (Knock)

There will not play in Dinamo Zagreb: Beljo D. (Yellow Cards) Bennacer I. (Injury) Tabinas P. (Inactive) Torrente R. (Knee Injury)

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Genk won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1.3:1.7).

Including home match between the teams, Genk won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Racing Genk
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
22.02.26	Genk - Standard Liège	0:3 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Genk	1:3 ✺
Belgian Jupiler Pro League
13.02.26	KV Mechelen - Genk	2:3 ✺
08.02.26	Genk - Anderlecht	2:0 ✺
01.02.26	Dender EH - Genk	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.8 LWWWW
- Dinamo Zagreb
Croatian HNL
22.02.26	Varaždin - Dinamo Zagreb	0:4 ✺
UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Genk	1:3 ✺
Croatian HNL
14.02.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Istra 1961	4:0 ✺
08.02.26	Rijeka - Dinamo Zagreb	0:0 ✺
02.02.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Vukovar 91	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWTW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa League
19.02.26	Dinamo Zagreb - Genk	1:3
25.11.21	Dinamo Zagreb - Genk	1:1
30.09.21	Genk - Dinamo Zagreb	0:3

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