Match Info

Date: 17 September 2020, Thursday


	Lokomotivi Tbilisi		Dynamo Moscow

	1	X	2
	8	4.5	1.33	Watch
	7	4	1.42
	7.5	4.4	1.43	Watch
	7.4	4.1	1.37
	8.61	4.45	1.41
	8	4.2	1.35
	7.2	4.5	1.41
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.67 ↑ (6.53)	4.31 ↓ (4.32)	1.39 ↓ (1.41)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lokomotivi Tbilisi
12%

Draw
21.4%

Dynamo Moscow
66.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

14%

21.1%

64.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

12.3%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lokomotivi Tbilisi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Dynamo Moscow has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lokomotivi Tbilisi than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lokomotivi Tbilisi, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dynamo Moscow than the current prediction. (-28.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Dynamo Moscow, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
11.6%	4.7%	83.7%

Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Dynamo Moscow Predictions

Users Predictions: Dynamo Moscow will win (36 of 43 users predict this - 83.72%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.69% – 94.75%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

No spectators.

Lokomotivi is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Dynamo M is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Dynamo M could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Dynamo M is absolute favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Lokomotivi Tbilisi
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
09.09.20	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Chikhura Sachkhere	4:1 ✺
UEFA Europa League
27.08.20	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Universitatea Craiova	2:1 ✺
Georgian Erovnuli Liga
17.08.20	Samtredia - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	0:0 ✺
10.08.20	Dila Gori - Lokomotivi Tbilisi	0:1 ✺
01.08.20	Lokomotivi Tbilisi - Torpedo Kutaisi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.7 WWTWL
- FC Dynamo Moscow
Russian Premier League
13.09.20	Dynamo Moscow - Rubin Kazan	0:1 ✺
30.08.20	Ufa - Dynamo Moscow	1:1 ✺
26.08.20	Dynamo Moscow - Zenit	1:0 ✺
22.08.20	Arsenal Tula - Dynamo Moscow	2:0 ✺
19.08.20	Dynamo Moscow - Rostov	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 LTWLW

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