Match Info

Serie B - Round 12

Date: 6 June 2026, Saturday

Location: Estádio Heriberto Hülse (Criciúma)

Referee: Vollkopf P. (Bra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	Disney+, ESPN


	Criciúma		Londrina

	1	X	2
	1.57	3.40	5.75	Watch
	1.53	3.70	5.75
	1.61	3.65	5.60	Watch
	1.48	4.21	8.51
	1.47	4.19	7.01	Watch
	1.53	3.60	6.50
	1.54	3.74	6.38	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.71)	3.78 ↑ (3.42)	6.5 ↑ (5.07)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Criciúma
60.9%

Draw
24.7%

Londrina
14.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54.5%

27.2%

18.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.4%

26.8%

18%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Criciúma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Criciúma's performance.

Londrina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Criciúma than the current prediction. (-5.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Criciúma that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Londrina than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
96.2%	3.8%	0%

Criciúma - Londrina Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 0.5 - over (1.06) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Criciúma will win (25 of 26 users predict this - 96.15%).
Confidence interval (95%): 88.75% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
70. Pedro Santos (G) 37. Cesar Martins 3. Rodrigo (C) 4. Luciano Castan 97. Willean Lepo 5. Eduardo 8. Gui Lobo 22. Marcelo Hermes 91. Otero R. 7. Fellipe Mateus 13. Waguininho	30. Mauricio Kozlinski (G) 75. Kaue Leonardo 44. Caio Rodrigues 15. Gabriel Lacerda (C) 34. Heron 5. Andre Luiz 32. Joao Tavares 18. Paulinho Moccelin 96. Thalis 7. Vitinho Mota 9. Bruno Santos
Substitutes
1. Alisson (G) 34. Bruno Alves 88. Caue Santos 77. Diego Goncalves 26. Heitor Roca 10. Jhonata Robert 17. Lucas Bugs 6. Marcinho 9. Nicolas 11. Romarinho 43. Ruan Carvalho 50. Thiaguinho	17. Andre Cardoso 28. Caio Maia 55. Caio Rafael 53. Chumbinho 20. Fabiano 1. Luan Ribeiro (G) 27. Murilo Sousa 6. Rafael Monteiro 19. Rodriguez E. 3. Yago Lincoln
Coaches
Eduardo Baptista	Rogerio Micale

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Willean Lepo ⚽, Otero R. (A),
16', Gabriel Lacerda 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Caio Rodrigues ↓, Yago Lincoln ↑,
47', Eduardo 🟨,
63', Otero R. ↓, Nicolas ↑,
63', Eduardo ↓, Thiaguinho ↑,
67', Paulinho Moccelin ↓, Caio Rafael ↑,
72', Thalis 🟨,
75', Gui Lobo ↓, Diego Goncalves ↑,
80', Thalis ↓, Rodriguez E. ↑,
82', Willean Lepo ↓, Marcinho ↑,
82', Waguininho ↓, Jhonata Robert ↑,
86', Heron ↓, Caio Maia ↑,
86', Vitinho Mota ↓, Rafael Monteiro ↑,
90+4', Luciano Castan 🟨,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 8 and 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie C (First stage: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 3.

Criciúma has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Londrina is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Recently, Criciúma has had a series of away games.

In this match, Criciúma is considered a favorite.

There will not play in Criciúma: Caue Santos (Inactive) Octavio Henrique (Muscle Injury) Romarinho (Inactive) Yuri Tanque (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There will not play in Londrina: Andre Dhominique (Red Card) Gilberto (Leg Injury) Iago Teles (Red Card) Kevyn (Muscle Injury) Lucas Marques (Yellow Cards) Wallace (Calf Injury)

There are questionable in Criciúma: Airton (Inactive) Jean Irmer (Injury)

In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Criciúma won 8 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 22:16. (average 1.4:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Criciúma won 7 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 14:5. (average 1.8:0.6).

Outrights of Brazilian Serie B for now

Criciuma: 5.88%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Criciuma	31	15	8	8	33:27	6	53
18	Londrina	32	7	7	18	40:47	-7	28

Last Results with these Odds

Criciúma - the odds 1.71 are the expected chance of winning is 54.47%, but this team recently wins 22% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Criciúma EC
Brazilian Serie B
30.05.26	Avaí - Criciúma	1:2 ✺
24.05.26	Operário Ferroviario - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
17.05.26	Criciúma - Atlético Goianiense	1:1 ✺
09.05.26	Juventude - Criciúma	0:0 ✺
02.05.26	Cuiabá - Criciúma	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTTTT
- Londrina EC
Brazilian Serie B
31.05.26	Londrina - Vila Nova	0:1 ✺
23.05.26	Fortaleza - Londrina	3:0 ✺
18.05.26	Ponte Preta - Londrina	1:4 ✺
12.05.26	Londrina - São Bernardo	1:3 ✺
03.05.26	Operário Ferroviario - Londrina	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie B
12.08.23	Criciúma - Londrina	2:0
01.05.23	Londrina - Criciúma	1:1
30.07.22	Londrina - Criciúma	1:1
14.04.22	Criciúma - Londrina	1:0
Brazilian Serie C
11.10.20	Criciúma - Londrina	2:1
10.08.20	Londrina - Criciúma	0:0
Brazilian Serie B
12.11.19	Criciúma - Londrina	2:0

Upcoming Matches