Match Info

ENGLAND: Southern League Central Division - Round 40

Date: 13 April 2024, Saturday


	Long Eaton United		AFC Telford United

	1	X	2
	13.5	6.5	1.15
	13	6.5	1.15
	12.37	8.77	1.13
	12.37	8.77	1.13
	17.5	6.74	1.13
	13	6.5	1.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	13.62 ↑ (8.9)	7.3 ↑ (4.52)	1.14 ↓ (1.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Long Eaton United
6.7%

Draw
12.6%

AFC Telford United
80.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

10.3%

20.3%

69.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

9.8%

19.4%

72.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Long Eaton United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

AFC Telford United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AFC Telford United's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Long Eaton United than the current prediction. (+3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Telford United than the current prediction. (-8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AFC Telford United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

#ad

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Dinanga R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
60', 0 - 2, Stenson M. ⚽,
88', 0 - 3, ⚽,

Preview

An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Southern League Central Division (Play Offs: )).

Long Eaton is Relegated to

Long Eaton is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Telford in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

In this match Telford is the unquestionable favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Long Eaton won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Long Eaton United
English Southern League Central Division
06.04.24	Stamford - Long Eaton United	2:0 ✺
01.04.24	Barwell - Long Eaton United	3:0 ✺
23.03.24	Stratford Town - Long Eaton United	3:2 ✺
16.03.24	Long Eaton United - St Ives Town	3:3 ✺
09.03.24	Long Eaton United - Needham Market	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15 LLLTT
- AFC Telford United
English Southern League Central Division
06.04.24	AFC Telford United - Leamington	1:0 ✺
01.04.24	Bromsgrove Sporting - AFC Telford United	1:2 ✺
29.03.24	AFC Telford United - Redditch United	3:0 ✺
23.03.24	Hitchin Town - AFC Telford United	1:1 ✺
19.03.24	Alvechurch - AFC Telford United	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

English Southern League Central Division
04.11.23	AFC Telford United - Long Eaton United	1:0

Upcoming Matches