Match Info

Date: 19 February 2022, Saturday


	Lorca Deportiva		Mazarrón

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.5	5.5
	1.38	3.95	5.75
	1.44	3.95	5.6
	1.49	3.75	5.66
	1.53	3.98	5.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.47 ↑ (1.34)	3.83 ↓ (4.5)	5.6 ↓ (7.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorca Deportiva
60.7%

Draw
23.4%

Mazarrón
16%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

67.5%

20.1%

12.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.9%

11.9%

21%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lorca Deportiva's form might have worsened.

Mazarrón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (-20.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorca Deportiva that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mazarrón than the current prediction. (+5%)

Lorca Deportiva - Mazarrón Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 13 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Lorca Deportiva is in undoubted good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Mazarrón is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

In this match Lorca Deportiva is absolute favorite.

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lorca Deportiva won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 10-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Lorca Deportiva won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
13.02.22	Lorca Deportiva - Bala Azul	1:0 ✺
06.02.22	Ciudad de Murcia - Lorca Deportiva	3:1 ✺
30.01.22	Lorca Deportiva - Yeclano Deportivo	2:1 ✺
23.01.22	Bullense - Lorca Deportiva	0:0 ✺
19.01.22	La Unión - Lorca Deportiva	0:0 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 WLWTW
- Mazarrón FC
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
13.02.22	Racing Murcia - Mazarrón	3:0 ✺
06.02.22	Mazarrón - Real Murcia B	1:0 ✺
30.01.22	Cartagena FC - Mazarrón	0:3 ✺
23.01.22	Mazarrón - Minera	1:3 ✺
16.01.22	El Palmar - Mazarrón	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.6 LWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
20.10.21	Mazarrón - Lorca Deportiva	0:1
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Promotion Play Offs
18.07.20	Lorca Deportiva - Mazarrón	0:0
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 13
08.12.19	Mazarrón - Lorca Deportiva	2:1
12.05.19	Lorca Deportiva - Mazarrón	3:1
23.12.18	Mazarrón - Lorca Deportiva	2:5

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