Match Info

Segunda RFEF - Group 4 - Round 16

Date: 21 December 2025, Sunday

Where to Watch on TV:


Spain	WebDirecto


	Xerez Deportivo		Lorca Deportiva

	1	X	2
	2.05	2.87	3.5
	2.1	2.92	3.4
	2.02	2.94	4.13
	2.18	2.89	3.55
	2.2	2.75	3.5
	2.15	2.83	3.56
	2.22	2.75	3.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.13 ↓ (2.16)	2.85 ↓ (2.95)	3.61 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Xerez Deportivo
42.8%

Draw
32%

Lorca Deportiva
25.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.3%

30.9%

26.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.2%

29.6%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Xerez Deportivo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Lorca Deportiva has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Xerez Deportivo than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorca Deportiva than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

Xerez Deportivo - Lorca Deportiva Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

Xerez Deportivo is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Lorca Deportiva has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Xerez Deportivo might have a minor edge in this game.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Xerez Deportivo FC
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.12.25	Linares Deportivo - Xerez Deportivo	1:2 ✺
07.12.25	Xerez Deportivo - Recreativo Huelva	1:1 ✺
30.11.25	Estepona - Xerez Deportivo	0:2 ✺
23.11.25	Xerez Deportivo - Puente Genil	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Melilla - Xerez Deportivo	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18 WTWWT
- CF Lorca Deportiva
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
14.12.25	Lorca Deportiva - Águilas	0:1 ✺
07.12.25	Antoniano - Lorca Deportiva	3:1 ✺
30.11.25	Lorca Deportiva - Atlético Malagueño	2:1 ✺
23.11.25	Lorca Deportiva - Melilla	1:0 ✺
16.11.25	Xerez CD - Lorca Deportiva	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 LLWWW

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