Match Info

Date: 13 December 2020, Sunday


	Lorient		Nîmes

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.75	4	Watch
	1.91	3.6	4
	1.88	3.6	4.1	Watch
	1.88	3.55	4
	1.93	3.65	4.31
	1.85	3.5	4.2	Watch
	1.9	3.72	4.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.89 ↓ (2.16)	3.62 ↑ (3.41)	4.1 ↑ (3.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorient
50.5%

Draw
26.3%

Nîmes
23.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44%

27.9%

28.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.9%

19%

41.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorient has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Lorient's performance.

Nîmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (-20.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Lorient that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (+18.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nîmes could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40.5%	26.2%	33.3%

Lorient - Nîmes Predictions

Users Predictions: 42 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 17 - 40.5%). Nîmes will win (votes: 14 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 26.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lorient: 25.7% – 55.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

In a match only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation to Ligue 2 and 16).

Lorient has a good chance of relegated (54%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Nîmes has a chance of relegated (39%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Lorient has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Nîmes is in cheap shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Lorient could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Lorient will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lorient won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Lorient won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lorient
French Ligue 1
06.12.20	Angers - Lorient	2:0 ✺
29.11.20	Lorient - Montpellier	0:1 ✺
22.11.20	Lille - Lorient	4:0 ✺
08.11.20	Lorient - Nantes	0:2 ✺
01.11.20	Dijon - Lorient	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.1 LLLLT
- Nîmes Olympique
French Ligue 1
04.12.20	Nîmes - Olympique Marseille	0:2 ✺
29.11.20	Monaco - Nîmes	3:0 ✺
22.11.20	Reims - Nîmes	0:1 ✺
08.11.20	Nîmes - Angers	1:5 ✺
01.11.20	Nîmes - Metz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LLWLL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
24.04.18	Nîmes - Lorient	1:0
28.11.17	Lorient - Nîmes	1:2

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