Match Info

Date: 4 December 2020, Friday


	Nîmes		Olympique Marseille

	1	X	2
	5	3.75	1.7	Watch
	5.25	3.8	1.67
	5.2	3.8	1.68	Watch
	4.9	3.75	1.7
	5.1	3.89	1.75
	5.25	3.7	1.67	Watch
	5.2	3.82	1.71
Avarage Now (Initially)	5.13 ↑ (4.05)	3.79 ↑ (3.47)	1.7 ↓ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nîmes
18.6%

Draw
25.2%

Olympique Marseille
56.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

27.3%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

18.3%

21.4%

63%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nîmes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)

Olympique Marseille has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Olympique Marseille's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nîmes than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Olympique Marseille than the current prediction. (+6.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Olympique Marseille could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
10.6%	8.7%	80.8%

Nîmes - Olympique Marseille Predictions

Users Predictions: Olympique Marseille will win (214 of 265 users predict this - 80.75%).
Confidence interval (95%): 76% – 85.5%. The data is statistically significant.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Preview

Let's watch a game between leader and outsider (ranked 16 and 6).

Nîmes has a chance of relegated (31%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Marseille has a very small chance of relegated (<1%), has a chance of qualify for ucl (22%), has a very small chance of win league (2%).

Nîmes is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Marseille is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Marseille could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Marseille is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Nîmes won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 9-13.

Including matches at home between the teams Nîmes won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 7-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nîmes Olympique
French Ligue 1
29.11.20	Monaco - Nîmes	3:0 ✺
22.11.20	Reims - Nîmes	0:1 ✺
08.11.20	Nîmes - Angers	1:5 ✺
01.11.20	Nîmes - Metz	0:1 ✺
25.10.20	Bordeaux - Nîmes	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.3 LWLLL
- Olympique Marseille
UEFA Champions League
01.12.20	Olympique Marseille - Olympiacos Piraeus	2:1 ✺
French Ligue 1
28.11.20	Olympique Marseille - Nantes	3:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
25.11.20	Olympique Marseille - Porto	0:2 ✺
French Ligue 1
06.11.20	Strasbourg - Olympique Marseille	0:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
03.11.20	Porto - Olympique Marseille	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.4 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
09.08.20	Nîmes - Olympique Marseille	0:1
French Ligue 1
28.02.20	Nîmes - Olympique Marseille	2:3
21.12.19	Olympique Marseille - Nîmes	3:1
13.04.19	Olympique Marseille - Nîmes	2:1
19.08.18	Nîmes - Olympique Marseille	3:1
Club Friendly
15.07.16	Nîmes - Olympique Marseille	0:1
27.03.15	Nîmes - Olympique Marseille	2:2

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