Match Info

Date: 1 November 2020, Sunday


	Dijon		Lorient

	1	X	2
	2.9	3.5	2.35	Watch
	3.1	3.4	2.3
	2.95	3.5	2.32	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.38
	3.01	3.54	2.45
	2.9	3.4	2.35	Watch
	2.97	3.55	2.38
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.96 ↓ (3.13)	3.47 ↓ (3.47)	2.36 ↑ (2.26)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Dijon
32.2%

Draw
27.5%

Lorient
40.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

27.4%

42.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.7%

20.4%

56.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Dijon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)

Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Dijon than the current prediction. (-9.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Dijon that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+16.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Lorient could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	12.5%	62.5%

Dijon - Lorient Predictions

Users Predictions: 48 users predict this event. Dijon will win (votes: 12 - 25%). Lorient will win (votes: 30 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lorient: 48.8% – 76.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation to Ligue 2 and 17).

Dijon has a good chance of relegated (57%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Lorient has a chance of relegated (30%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Both teams are in bad shape now.

Lorient will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Dijon won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-5.

Including matches at home between the teams Dijon won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Dijon FC
French Ligue 1
24.10.20	Paris Saint-Germain - Dijon	4:0 ✺
16.10.20	Dijon - Rennes	1:1 ✺
04.10.20	Bordeaux - Dijon	3:0 ✺
27.09.20	Dijon - Montpellier	2:2 ✺
20.09.20	Strasbourg - Dijon	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9 LTLTL
- FC Lorient
French Ligue 1
24.10.20	Lorient - Olympique Marseille	0:1 ✺
17.10.20	Reims - Lorient	1:3 ✺
04.10.20	Metz - Lorient	3:1 ✺
27.09.20	Lorient - Lyon	1:1 ✺
20.09.20	Brest - Lorient	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.7 LWLTL

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
28.01.17	Lorient - Dijon	2:3
22.10.16	Dijon - Lorient	1:0
French Coupe de la Ligue
15.12.15	Lorient - Dijon	3:0
French Ligue 1
07.05.12	Lorient - Dijon	0:0

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