Match Info

FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 7

Date: 1 October 2023, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stade du Moustoir (Lorient) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Stinat J. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Australia	02:05	beIN Sports
Bosnia And Herzegovina	17:05	Arena Sport
Cyprus	18:05	Nova Sports
Czech Republic	17:05	Nova Sport 1
Greece	18:05	Nova Sports
Portugal	16:05	Eleven Sports 5
Serbia	17:05	Arena Sport
United Kingdom	16:05	TNT Sports


	Lorient		Montpellier

	1	X	2
	3	3.6	2.25	Watch
	3	3.5	2.25
	3.05	3.55	2.28	Watch
	3	3.5	2.27
	3.14	3.74	2.29
	3	3.5	2.25
	3.08	3.66	2.24	Watch
	3.05	3.7	2.31
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.04 ↑ (2.92)	3.59 ↑ (3.5)	2.27 (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.3%, offered by

Watch this match and French Ligue 1 with fuboTV (for US customers)

Network on TV: beIN SPORTS Canada

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Current Win Probability

Lorient
31.4%

Draw
26.5%

Montpellier
42.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

32.1%

26.7%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.4%

26.5%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

Montpellier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montpellier than the current prediction. (-1.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
22.6%	29%	48.4%

Lorient - Montpellier Predictions

Users Predictions: 31 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 7 - 22.6%). Montpellier will win (votes: 15 - 48.4%). It will Tie (votes: 9 - 29%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Montpellier: 30.8% – 66%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Mvogo Y. (G) 3. Talbi M. 15. Laporte J. 95. Toure S. I. 24. Kalulu G. 19. Abergel L. (C) 21. Ponceau J. 25. Le Goff V. 10. Faivre R. 37. Le Bris T. 22. Kroupi E. J.	40. Lecomte B. (G) 77. Sacko F. 27. Omeragic B. 4. Kouyate K. 14. Esteve M. 13. Chotard J. 12. Ferri J. 9. Al-Tamari M. 11. Savanier T. (C) 10. Khazri W. 8. Adams A.
Substitutes
29. Doucoure S. 1. Gomis A. (G) 2. Igor Silva 17. Makengo J. 5. Mendy B. 4. Mouyokolo L. 93. Mvuka Mugisha J. 26. Pagis P. 12. Yongwa D.	16. Bertaud D. (G) 19. Delaye S. 39. Issoufou Y. 6. Jullien C. 18. Leroy L. 35. Mincarelli L. 75. Sakho M. 29. Tchato E. 23. Yeboah K.
Coaches
Le Bris R.	Der Zakarian M.

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 15 and 14).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Lorient won 0.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Montpellier could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Montpellier will have a small advantage in this match.

There will not play in Lorient: Bakayoko T. (Injury) Boisgard Q. (Foot Injury) Dieng B. (Injury) Innocent B. (Injury) Kari A. (Injury) Mendy F. (Injury)

There will not play in Montpellier: Sainte-Luce T. (Injury)

Last 19 head-to-head matches Lorient won 4 matches, drawn 6 matches, lost 9 matches and goals 23-31.

Including matches at home between the teams Lorient won 3 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 14-15.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lorient
French Ligue 1
23.09.23	Nantes - Lorient	5:3 ✺
17.09.23	Lorient - Monaco	2:2 ✺
03.09.23	Le Havre - Lorient	3:0 ✺
27.08.23	Lorient - Lille	4:1 ✺
20.08.23	Lorient - Nice	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LTLWT
- Montpellier HSC
French Ligue 1
24.09.23	Montpellier - Rennes	0:0 ✺
17.09.23	Strasbourg - Montpellier	2:2 ✺
03.09.23	Lille - Montpellier	1:0 ✺
27.08.23	Montpellier - Reims	1:3 ✺
19.08.23	Lyon - Montpellier	1:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.9 TTLLW

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 1
14.05.23	Montpellier - Lorient	1:1
29.12.22	Lorient - Montpellier	0:2
20.02.22	Lorient - Montpellier	0:1
22.08.21	Montpellier - Lorient	3:1
03.03.21	Montpellier - Lorient	1:1
29.11.20	Lorient - Montpellier	0:1
Coupe De France
24.01.18	Montpellier - Lorient	4:3

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