Match Info

FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 4

Date: 13 September 2024, Friday

Location: Stade du Moustoir (Lorient)

Referee: Legat P. (Fra)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA
France	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, beIN Sports MENA French 2, Free, myCANAL


	Lorient		Red Star

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.8	5	Watch
	1.62	4.1	4.75
	1.63	4	4.75
	1.65	4.29	4.84
	1.67	4.18	4.74	Watch
	1.6	4	4.8
	1.66	4.2	4.75	Watch
	1.6	4.2	4.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.63 ↑ (1.57)	4.1 ↑ (3.78)	4.8 ↓ (5.97)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Lorient
57.6%

Draw
22.9%

Red Star
19.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

59.6%

24.7%

15.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.1%

24.1%

15.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Lorient has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)

Red Star has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lorient than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Red Star than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	15.4%	15.4%

Lorient - Red Star Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Lorient will win (votes: 9 - 69.2%). Red Star will win (votes: 2 - 15.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Lorient: 44.1% – 94.3%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
38. Mvogo Y. (G) 2. Igor Silva 32. Adjei N. 3. Talbi M. 44. Yongwa D. 21. Ponceau J. 7. Katseris P. 6. Abergel L. 10. Pagis P. 28. Soumano S. 22. Kroupi E. J.	1. Beunardeau Q. (G) 27. Danger B. 4. Mendy B. 28. Kouagba L. 20. Durivaux D. 5. Escartin J. 97. Renel S. 98. Hachem R. 10. Ifnaoui M. 29. Benali H. 7. Durand D.
Substitutes
9. Bamba M. 66. James I. 24. Kalulu G. 1. Leroy B. (G) 5. Mendy F. 93. Mvuka Mugisha J.	16. Avognan W. (G) 21. Badji A. 17. Botella I. 26. Dembi F. J. 13. Doucoure F. 93. El Hriti A. 19. Mbock H.
Coaches
Pantaloni O.	Poirier G.

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

Recently opponents have a series of guest games.

In this match Lorient is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Lorient won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Lorient won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Lorient
French Ligue 2
31.08.24	Amiens - Lorient	1:0 ✺
24.08.24	Lorient - Grenoble	2:0 ✺
19.08.24	Martigues - Lorient	0:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.08.24	Guingamp - Lorient	1:1 ✺
07.08.24	Nantes - Lorient	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.9 LWWTT
- Red Star FC 93
French Ligue 2
30.08.24	Guingamp - Red Star	3:4 ✺
26.08.24	Red Star - Ajaccio	1:0 ✺
16.08.24	Amiens - Red Star	3:0 ✺
Club Friendly
03.08.24	Auxerre - Red Star	2:0 ✺
27.07.24	Zulte Waregem - Red Star	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

French Ligue 2
15.02.19	Lorient - Red Star	2:1
14.09.18	Red Star - Lorient	0:3

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