Match Info

Primera Nacional - Round 11

Date: 20 April 2025, Sunday

Location: Estadio Eduardo Gallardo (Buenos Aires)

Referee: Ceballos D. (Arg)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	TyC Sports Play


	Los Andes		Deportivo Maipú

	1	X	2
	1.95	3	4.75	Watch
	2.15	2.85	3.5
				Watch
	1.96	2.78	4.05
	1.99	2.72	5.14	Watch
	2.2	2.88	3.5
	1.93	2.97	4.69	Watch
	2.22	2.75	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.06 ↓ (2.17)	2.85 ↓ (3.25)	4.18 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 5.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Los Andes
45.2%

Draw
32.6%

Deportivo Maipú
22.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.2%

28.8%

28%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42.9%

28.6%

28.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Los Andes has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

Deportivo Maipú has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Deportivo Maipú might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Andes than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Deportivo Maipú than the current prediction. (+6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Deportivo Maipú could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
40%	50%	10%

Los Andes - Deportivo Maipú Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Los Andes will win (votes: 4 - 40%). Deportivo Maipú will win (votes: 1 - 10%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 50%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 19% – 81%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Los Andes (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lopez S. (G) 4. Sandoval A. 2. Leizza B. 6. Marco F. 3. Fernandez N. 7. Sives T. 5. Canete G. 8. Pereira G. (C) 10. Gerzel G. 11. Martinez F. 9. Asenjo M.	1. Pietrobono I. (G) 4. Paredes L. 2. Paulini S. 6. Aguero Gimenez A. R. 3. Ozuna E. 10. Eggel M. 5. Villarreal M. 8. Del Priore N. 7. Viguet M. 11. Silva T. 9. Sandoval I.
Substitutes
12. Brey M. (G) 14. Britez M. 16. Carrasco G. D. 15. Diaz E. 20. Diaz E. 17. Paez A. M. 19. Perez T. 13. Segalerba G. 18. Villarreal F.	14. Arnijas L. 20. Bonacci P. 16. Bonfigli M. 15. Faggioli L. 12. Galardi N. (G) 17. Mansilla G. 18. Ramirez D. 19. Saccone F. 13. Vallejo L.
Coaches
Lemos L.	Sara J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
25', Aguero Gimenez A. R. 🟨,
26', Silva T. 🟨,
44', 1 - 0, Asenjo M. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
47', 2 - 0, Marco F. ⚽,
51', Viguet M. 🟨,
57', Del Priore N. ↓, Mansilla G. ↑,
58', Sandoval I. ↓, Bonacci P. ↑,
63', Sives T. ↓, Villarreal F. ↑,
66', Eggel M. ↓, Saccone F. ↑,
73', Gerzel G. ↓, Carrasco G. D. ↑,
74', Asenjo M. ↓, Diaz E. ↑,
74', Paredes L. ↓, Vallejo L. ↑,
74', Villarreal M. ↓, Ramirez D. ↑,
87', Martinez F. ↓, Segalerba G. ↑,
87', Sandoval A. ↓, Britez M. ↑,
90+1', 3 - 0, Villarreal F. ⚽,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 12 and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ Primera Nacional (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Two teams are playing changeable.

Los Andes could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Los Andes will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Los Andes de Lomas de Zamora
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.04.25	Quilmes - Los Andes	2:0 ✺
Copa Argentina
09.04.25	Rosario Central - Los Andes	1:0 ✺
Argentinian Primera Nacional
05.04.25	Los Andes - Gimnasia y Tiro	0:0 ✺
28.03.25	Racing de Córdoba - Los Andes	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Los Andes - Tristán Suárez	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 LLTTW
- Deportivo Maipú
Argentinian Primera Nacional
13.04.25	Deportivo Maipú - Gimnasia y Tiro	1:0 ✺
05.04.25	Tristán Suárez - Deportivo Maipú	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Deportivo Maipú - San Martín de Tucumán	0:1 ✺
23.03.25	Güemes - Deportivo Maipú	1:1 ✺
16.03.25	Deportivo Maipú - Patronato Parana	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WTLTT

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