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Current Win Probability
Los Angeles 78.2%
Draw 13.7%
DC United 8.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
69.2%
18.1%
12.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
69.7%
18%
12.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Los Angeles has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Los Angeles's performance.
DC United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Los Angeles than the current prediction. (-8.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Los Angeles that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for DC United than the current prediction. (+4.5%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
58.3%
12.5%
29.2%
Los Angeles - DC United Predictions
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Los Angeles will win (votes: 14 - 58.3%). DC United will win (votes: 7 - 29.2%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%). Confidence interval (95%) for Los Angeles: 38.6% – 78%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Preview
One of the leader and one of the outsider will play in this match (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 14).
Los Angeles has the most likely position - 1 (96.22%), has project points - 73, has currently - 54, has a very good chance of playoffs (>99%), has a very good chance of first-round bye (96%), has a good chance of supporters shield (90%), has a chance of win league (37%).
DC United has the most likely position - 14 (79.72%), has project points - 31, has currently - 22, has a very small chance of playoffs (<1%), has a very small chance of first-round bye (<1%), has not chance of supporters shield, has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
This event has quality40, very small importance8, small match rating24. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
Los Angeles in the last match got series victories and it is in a super good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
DC United is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Los Angeles is absolute favorite.
There will not play in Los Angeles: Gaines J.
(Injury)
There will not play in DC United: Benteke C.
(Injury)
Hamid B.
(Injury)
Hines-Ike B.
(Injury)
Odoi-Atsem C.
(Injury)
Perez A.
(Injury)
Smith B.
(Injury)
Last 2 head-to-head matches Los Angeles won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 5-1.
Including matches at home between the teams Los Angeles won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1-1.
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