Match Info

FIFA Club World Cup - Round 3

Date: 26 June 2025, Thursday

Location: Geodis Park (Nashville, TN)

Referee: Makkelie D. (Ned)

Where to Watch on TV:


Afghanistan	Ariana
Africa	Azam Sports 2, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, Showmax, StarTimes App, Startimes Sports Premium, SuperSport GOtv LaLiga, SuperSport LaLiga, SuperSport Maximo 360, ZAP
Albania	DAZN, SuperSport 3
Angola	Z Sports 1, Z Sports 2
Argentina	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSports 2, Mi Telefe
Asia	MBC Action
Australia	DAZN, Fox Sports 505, Foxtel Now, Kayo Sports
Austria	DAZN
Belarus	DAZN, Okko Sport
Belgium	DAZN 1
Bolivia	AXS, Cotas, DAZN App, DAZN, ENTEL TV, Tigo Sports 1, Tigo Sports App, XDigital
Brazil	Amazon Prime Video, Caze TV, Claro TV+, DAZN Brasil, Globoplay, Sky+, Zapping
Bulgaria	DAZN
Canada	DAZN Canada
Chile	DirecTV Sports
China	Migu, ZhiBo8
Colombia	DAZN
Costa-rica	TD +, TDMAX
Croatia	DAZN
Cyprus	DAZN
Czech-republic	DAZN, Nova Sport 5, Oneplay Sport 1
Denmark	DAZN
Ecuador	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 2
Egypt	MBC Masr 2
El-salvador	Canal 4, TCS GO
Finland	DAZN, Veikkaus TV
France	DAZN 1, DAZN 2, DAZN France
Germany	DAZN Deutsch
Greece	DAZN
Honduras	Deportes TV, Mega
Hong-kong	DAZN
Hungary	DAZN, Duna World / M4 Sport +
India	DAZN, FanCode, FanCode
Indonesia	DAZN
Ireland	DAZN Ireland
Israel	5 PLUS Israel
Italy	DAZN 1, DAZN Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kazakhstan	DAZN, Qazsport
Kenya	Gotv
Latvia	DAZN
Lithuania	DAZN
Malaysia	DAZN
Maldives	Medianet
Malta	TVM+
Mexico	DAZN App, DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Nicaragua	Canal 13
Nigeria	DAZN, SuperSport LaLiga
North-central-america	DirecTV Sports Caribbean, RUSH Sports 1 Caribbean
North-macedonia	DAZN
Norway	DAZN, VG+
Panama	Nex
Paraguay	DAZN App, DAZN, Tigo Sports+
Peru	DAZN App, DirecTV Sports
Philippines	DAZN
Poland	DAZN
Portugal	DAZN 1, DAZN Portugal
Romania	DAZN, Voyo
Russia	DAZN
Saudi-arabia	Shahid VIP
Serbia	DAZN
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	DAZN
South-africa	DAZN, SuperSport La Liga, SuperSport Laliga
South-america	DGO Latin America
South-korea	Coupang Play, DAZN
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	DAZN
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Taiwan	DAZN
Thailand	DAZN
Turkey	DAZN Turkiye, Tabii Spor 1, Tabii, TRT Spor
Ukraine	DAZN
United-arab-emirates	DAZN
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSports 2, Eventos Montecable, Flow, Montecable 1, NS Eventos, TCC 1, TCC 2
Usa	DAZN USA
Uzbekistan	DAZN
Venezuela	DAZN App, DAZN, DirecTV Sports, DSports 1, DSports 2, Inter, Televen
Vietnam	DAZN, FPT Play
World	Sport 24 Extra


	Al-Hilal		Pachuca

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.5	6	Watch
	1.6	4.2	5
	1.52	4.8	6.1
				Watch
	1.52	4.61	6.47
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.54 ↓ (1.81)	4.53 ↑ (3.83)	5.89 ↑ (4.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Al-Hilal
62.5%

Draw
21.2%

Pachuca
16.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52.8%

25%

22.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

24.5%

21.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Al-Hilal has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Al-Hilal's performance.

Pachuca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pachuca might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Al-Hilal than the current prediction. (-8.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Al-Hilal that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pachuca than the current prediction. (+5.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pachuca could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
88.9%	4.2%	6.9%

Al Hilal - Pachuca Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Al-Hilal (1.76) (votes: 6 - 85.7%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 3 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2, 1st Half - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

DC - Al-Hilal (1.20) (votes: 1 - 50%) .

EH +1 - Al-Hilal (1.18) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Al-Hilal will win (62 of 70 users predict this - 88.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 81.12% – 96.02%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Al-Hilal will win (24 of 27 users predict this - 88.89%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 37 Selected Experts predict this event. Al-Hilal (votes: 32 - 86.5%). Pachuca (votes: 5 - 13.5%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
37. Bono (G) 20. Cancelo J. 87. Tambakti H. 3. Koulibaly K. 6. Lodi R. 8. Neves R. 22. Milinkovic-Savic S. 16. Al Dawsari N. 77. Malcom 11. Marcos Leonardo 29. Al Dawsari S. (C)	13. Jurado S. (G) 2. Barreto S. D. 4. Eduardo Bauermann 16. Pereira F. 14. Sanchez C. 28. Montiel E. 18. Palavecino A. 3. Aceves A. 12. Dominguez A. 23. Rondon S. (C) 29. Kenedy
Substitutes
40. Abu Rasen A. (G) 5. Al Bulayhi A. 4. Al Dawsari K. 7. Al Ghannam K. 39. Al Hadhood A. 99. Al Hamdan A. 24. Al Harbi M. 18. Al Juwayr M. 15. Al Qahtani M. 17. Al Rubaie M. (G) 12. Al Shahrani Y. 88. Al Yami H. 27. Kaio Cesar 28. Kanno M. 78. Lajami A.	26. Bautista A. 35. Berlanga J. 22. Cabral G. 8. Gonzalez B. 32. Guzman V. 9. Hernandez I. 6. Homenchenko S. 30. Hurtado A. 10. John Kennedy 19. Lopez J. 15. Luna I. 25. Moreno C. (G) 5. Pedraza P. 7. Rodriguez E. 24. Rodriguez L.
Coaches
Inzaghi S.	Lozano J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Barreto S. D. 🟨,
22', 1 - 0, Al Dawsari S. ⚽, Al Dawsari N. (A),
45+2', Dominguez A. 🟨,
45+4', Lodi R. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
52', Koulibaly K. 🟨,
56', Dominguez A. ↓, Hurtado A. ↑,
56', Barreto S. D. ↓, Gonzalez B. ↑,
63', Kenedy ↓, Bautista A. ↑,
71', Lodi R. ↓, Al Harbi M. ↑,
76', Tambakti H. ↓, Lajami A. ↑,
76', Al Dawsari S. ↓, Kanno M. ↑,
77', Palavecino A. ↓, Pedraza P. ↑,
77', Sanchez C. ↓, Hernandez I. ↑,
86', Cancelo J. ↓, Al Yami H. ↑,
86', Malcom ↓, Al Juwayr M. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 0, Marcos Leonardo ⚽, Neves R. (A),

Preview

Al-Hilal is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Pachuca is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Al-Hilal has had a series of away games.

In this match, Al-Hilal is seen as the favorite.

There will not play in Al-Hilal: Mitrovic A. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Pachuca: Micolta A. (Knee Injury)

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Al-Hilal Riyadh
FIFA Club World Cup
22.06.25	Red Bull Salzburg - Al-Hilal	0:0 ✺
18.06.25	Real Madrid - Al-Hilal	1:1 ✺
Saudi Professional League
26.05.25	Al-Hilal - Al-Qadisiya	2:0 ✺
21.05.25	Al-Wahda Mecca - Al-Hilal	1:1 ✺
16.05.25	Al Fateh - Al-Hilal	3:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.8 TTWTW
- CF Pachuca
FIFA Club World Cup
22.06.25	Real Madrid - Pachuca	3:1 ✺
18.06.25	Pachuca - Red Bull Salzburg	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
08.06.25	Al Ahly Cairo - Pachuca	1:1 ✺
Mexican Liga MX
10.05.25	Club América - Pachuca	2:0 ✺
07.05.25	Pachuca - Club América	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.6 LLTLT

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